TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,485
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,452

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,485 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x62ba…ef56backed Over55c18,627$10,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,382.124358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under46c11,743$5,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,448.0220948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c11,560$5,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,320.769,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5daa…5becbacked Under46c6,812$3,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,133.5240%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa93d…db7dbacked Under51c5,500$2,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8051729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-41.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3a08…f99ebacked Under50c4,433$2,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,216.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over54c4,349$2,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,991.314,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c35…5850backed Over49c4,215$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.81735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bcf…dff4backed Over50c4,012$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,005.911747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over54c2,606$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.764,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5959…b005backed Over54c2,463$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.98450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e62…c90dbacked Over54c2,372$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76b9…12e4backed Over50c2,136$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.021947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8764…604abacked Over56c2,050$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9027266.7%48 W · 24 L+14.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+47%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x306a…cebabacked Over54c1,977$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Under46c1,813$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8345543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Over53c1,782$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.3726544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over79c1,769$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.0883039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under51c1,733$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.52,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd997…53f2backed Under50c1,715$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.431030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-38.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.9969149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c1,448$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.046,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over47c1,158$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.861,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Under45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45018747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under42c962$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.041,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d1…12babacked Under52c950$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c914.88$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.838,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over55c900$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4093,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under40c874.84$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.92,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3315147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under45c747$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.152,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under51c747$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.771,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Over54c679.63$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.6319359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under41c662.76$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.0125840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under45c625$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.251,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under45c618$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.12,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30017550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Under46c499.97$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9827747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Under45c491.11$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Over52c440$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.28252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under43c437.79$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9918241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d0…f7ebbacked Under45c422.22$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1905119.6%10 W · 41 L-10.1wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-56.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x1e8e…6510backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over57c389.56$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.643,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under45c377.78$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c366.82$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.45,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over59c342$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.221,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over55c320$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.859144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cee…728ebacked Over50c320$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15053951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1325,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Under47c294.03$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1951146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over59c292.14$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.683,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over49c285.71$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.7116347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under45c284.04$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.821,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under45c276.09$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.242,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Under20c252.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033730.3%102 W · 235 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc349…e8d3backed Over50c230$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1152100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+161.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over79c201.94$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.89450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16e6…dc3dbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926040%24 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4935…fc12backed Under51c199.97$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.996333.3%21 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under51c194.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9300…e1d3backed Under7c179.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.31764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+48.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Over71c177.27$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6524846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over56c176.79$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.791,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under45c162.77$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7995047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under8c161.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6230616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over59c139.45$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.523,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under22c135.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4224330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over49c132.93$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.652,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over70c131.88$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.751,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under47c125.53$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5954246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over49c120.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8520949.3%103 W · 106 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over60c120$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.21,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae56…8c22backed Under42c116.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Over55c116.58$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5849358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed Under45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014643.8%64 W · 82 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc76…d308backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5012464.5%80 W · 44 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e7…85a1backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4519556.9%111 W · 84 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4432346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over53c99.95$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9835739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x457f…cf1dbacked Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5910659.4%63 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa3d…b8dcbacked Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under19c85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.152052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Under52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Under34c72.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5539047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over55c65.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8157657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Over50c65.98$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9841649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over55c64.74$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.261,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfffb…5f95backed Under47c63.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024150.2%121 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc054…7877backed Over54c60.17$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.682748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over55c60.13$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.840849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd107…add5backed Under46c58.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274427.3%12 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Under46c53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3753839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08f1…196ebacked Over76c52.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5716543.6%72 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.