NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20794de7fb1121c257addf21237178240df1ef39841e62e92bdb681305d42baa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8764…604abacked Over | 59c | 17,446$10,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,173.11 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 41c | 15,350$6,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,349.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d25…49debacked Under | 45c | 7,236$3,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,255.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a16…e0b5backed Over | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48c5…a11dbacked Over | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 3,213$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…6aa1backed Over | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b07…a876backed Under | 45c | 2,600$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5f…6778backed Under | 45c | 2,400$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 2,204$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.64 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under | 41c | 2,020$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.24 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dee…3d1bbacked Over | 58c | 2,017$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.24 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 41c | 1,366$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.06 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 42c | 1,274$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.25 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 59c | 1,047$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.29 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 58c | 1,002$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.72 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eea…6a6dbacked Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 41c | 900$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.81 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e4…442abacked Over | 55c | 735.54$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b2…9141backed Over | 65c | 492.37$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.81 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 43c | 465.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 250.41$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 42c | 238.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Over | 57c | 180.7$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 59c | 126.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Over | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 337 | 30.3%102 W · 235 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 58c | 112.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 62c | 110.35$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…9871backed Over | 56c | 100.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 44c | 93.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Over | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 61c | 87.08$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd617…496abacked Over | 54c | 79.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 60c | 52.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 38c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b8…c5cabacked Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149c…558ebacked Over | 57c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3392…73a3backed Under | 44c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 38c | 35.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 64c | 34.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -56%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe117…2ab8backed Under | 50c | 29.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Under | 42c | 28.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 55c | 26.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 38c | 26.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 58c | 21.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…75b0backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a3…5045backed Over | 56c | 18.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Pacers won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Pacers won
- Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jarace Walker: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jarace Walker: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jose Alvarado: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Pacers vs. KnicksPacers won
- Pacers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Pacers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.