Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5690d773848d9c83c16a05719af4d3edbcabf02a3194520604ea5b68fa407318
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfab…d980backed Yes | 37c | 26,550$9,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,823.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x457e…afd3backed No | 63c | 26,360$16,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,753.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee63…07a4backed No | 62c | 5,542$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 60c | 4,314$2,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.39 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 63c | 4,144$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.02 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked Yes | 37c | 3,400$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.96 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 58c | 3,197$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.57 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc001…d003backed No | 60c | 2,650$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…ed4dbacked Yes | 40c | 2,650$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 43c | 2,400$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 47c | 2,174$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.22 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 46c | 2,119$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.89 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 40c | 1,400$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.98 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 40c | 1,388$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…567bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,173$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 57c | 1,096$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.96 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 37c | 1,077$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.7 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…d078backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 55c | 907.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.37 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83bd…148dbacked No | 57c | 850$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc99…ede8backed Yes | 43c | 850$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Yes | 38c | 799.98$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.99 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…21fcbacked Yes | 41c | 755$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…f47bbacked Yes | 38c | 749.98$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 39c | 720.29$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 79c | 694$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.74 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 37c | 678.92$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.2 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…a6d3backed No | 59c | 665$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 37c | 657.68$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.34 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 74c | 651.8$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.24 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db4…241cbacked Yes | 41c | 645$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 61c | 620$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.8 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 79c | 614$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5baa…d1b0backed No | 60c | 580$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…0c20backed Yes | 40c | 580$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…1e7fbacked Yes | 41c | 550$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 39c | 545$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.1 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 21c | 500.75$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.07 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…3075backed No | 59c | 410$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Yes | 37c | 398.86$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.23 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Yes | 39c | 385$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…53bfbacked Yes | 41c | 340$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Yes | 47c | 335.97$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.9 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6223…c602backed No | 59c | 330$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5d…ccb7backed No | 59c | 325$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +176.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c73…5555backed Yes | 41c | 325$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…2e50backed No | 59c | 320$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 38c | 295$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.1 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Yes | 41c | 292.93$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -9.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…235abacked Yes | 41c | 280$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…e58abacked No | 59c | 280$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 61c | 276.31$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.53 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc2…76c7backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…8e18backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a05…7afdbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebc…17c5backed No | 59c | 245$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a7…9204backed No | 59c | 235$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed No | 65c | 213.85$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.85 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 37c | 209.84$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.64 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1527…120ebacked Yes | 16c | 199.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e8…b7a3backed No | 64c | 183.55$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…8714backed Yes | 32c | 172.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…42ffbacked Yes | 41c | 170$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 58c | 161$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.54 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 61c | 145.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked No | 64c | 144.63$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed Yes | 37c | 144.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 58c | 144$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 41c | 143.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 57c | 142.11$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412d…67fabacked Yes | 38c | 141.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d9…96e0backed No | 59c | 140$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…953abacked Yes | 41c | 130$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13bf…2a14backed Yes | 38c | 129.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 35c | 125.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 40c | 125.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…a068backed Yes | 31c | 125.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Yes | 39c | 125.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…db98backed Yes | 39c | 116.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 36c | 113.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-20?this page
- Will Manchester United vs. Wolves end in a draw?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-04-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.