Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves win on 2025-04-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeec962603c7048cfd530997032ebac10efdf219bf2f37d842d0e100bcac58434
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8776…3589backed Yes | 36c | 9,600$3,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,144 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…4673backed Yes | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 59c | 5,309$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.4 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 72c | 4,310$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.19 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Yes | 36c | 3,794$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 35c | 1,477$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.87 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 68c | 1,476$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.08 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 64c | 1,251$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.02 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed No | 70c | 931.86$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yes | 35c | 799.88$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.68 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 75c | 760.84$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.71 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked No | 68c | 656.25$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 66c | 613.61$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.99 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 64c | 599.98$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.99 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked No | 19c | 590.27$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.15 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 72c | 574$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.28 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed No | 67c | 500$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.85 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 65c | 494.8$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.62 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 33c | 445.45$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.45 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.18 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 64c | 438.86$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.9 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 65c | 417.99$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.69 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 21c | 416$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.64 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 72c | 401.72$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.48 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 65c | 355.21$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.15 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked No | 67c | 328.36$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 41c | 317.9$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.82 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 77c | 271.27$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 37c | 244.77$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.77 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 79c | 226.87$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Yes | 34c | 212$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.92 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc2…76c7backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 69c | 201.07$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.05 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 67c | 200.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.57 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x716c…65cabacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…5e38backed Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 36c | 191.11$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.31 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d2…9f1abacked Yes | 31c | 185.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.56 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 36c | 147.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.22 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 65c | 115$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked No | 68c | 111.54$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 72c | 110$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 23c | 103.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…7f79backed No | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 69cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Yes | 35c | 94.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…0217backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 68c | 84.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 75c | 84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…6047backed Yes | 31c | 65.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…1617backed Yes | 32c | 62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…069dbacked Yes | 33c | 60.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…4acebacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…bed1backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x683c…e223backed No | 68c | 54.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 32c | 52.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4b…e8a2backed Yes | 30c | 46.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 33c | 44.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…4942backed Yes | 35c | 43.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 65c | 40.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c18…dc3cbacked No | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 72c | 37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…807cbacked Yes | 35c | 34.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…ecc4backed Yes | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…b5cbbacked Yes | 79c | 27.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…cd61backed No | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves win on 2025-04-20?this page
- Will Manchester United vs. Wolves end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.