TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Earnings · resolved market

Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,988
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,275

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,988 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Earnings
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9f2…5cbabacked No20c7,398$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.8376837.4%287 W · 481 L+35.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xacc1…6a67backed No34c2,051$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75e7…9080backed No11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2204427.3%12 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3790…6973backed Yes78c1,864$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Yes65c1,613$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47b8…949fbacked Yes77c1,301$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bab…4f17backed No29c984.38$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.813235.6%47 W · 85 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5358…5243backed No18c885.72$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdacf…8d11backed No26c747.15$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.658541.2%35 W · 50 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked No3c727.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.748012.5%10 W · 70 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-61.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa20…9262backed Yes69c519.99$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked No22c499.97$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9921639.4%85 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No25c463.27$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.271526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick20cpaid-20%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2978…f839backed Yes75c440.06$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6970…684abacked Yes77c422.38$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee0c…0a49backed No31c421.16$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc77…c035backed No24c415.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.035431.5%17 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a54…efafbacked No21c381.58$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…f8c0backed No27c354.69$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes74c300$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick74cpaid-55.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d35…e83ebacked No35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcee…0f35backed Yes78c282.05$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.051266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed No33c270$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.133225%83 W · 249 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5242…f82abacked No32c260.73$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30b2…9e25backed No10c245.68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.552520%5 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes67c210$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes76c205.96$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.994763.8%30 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4467642.9%290 W · 386 L-36.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94d7…868bbacked No22c200$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x388e…2078backed No23c200$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.81952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f6…451cbacked No16c194$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0417137.4%64 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No22c184.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9429024.1%70 W · 220 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No13c180.18$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1411032.7%36 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc9…b8a8backed No19c175.9$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.422913.8%4 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10bb…d49dbacked Yes70c170$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.710272.5%74 W · 28 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf57…053bbacked Yes69c161.53$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.673053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x903f…46a1backed No28c151.4$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x304f…9a10backed No20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307812.8%10 W · 68 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.58048.8%39 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa0d5…55b0backed Yes72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2873…c370backed No30c148.43$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2f7…55dcbacked Yes67c147.76$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes72c139.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0658239%227 W · 355 L-25.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf91f…57f5backed No17c133.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.52616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaadc…4925backed Yes77c130.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0122…44e1backed Yes77c129.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2113960.4%84 W · 55 L+14.8wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+34.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1c28…ca98backed Yes78c127.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.69580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b58…f7cbbacked No20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25130%0 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes75c119.45$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9826334.6%91 W · 172 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1cf…9656backed Yes67c114.58$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.819247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x385b…b3cbbacked Yes75c108.16$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5343…0b0fbacked Yes77c107.83$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.911771.8%84 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a1…c98abacked No33c100.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3311723.1%27 W · 90 L-18.3wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-50.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed No20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c66…31e3backed Yes77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2311860.2%71 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5986…83e3backed Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204454.5%24 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2210760.7%65 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2106…4deabacked Yes69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.69761.9%60 W · 37 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed No20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b92…42e6backed Yes74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3312264.8%79 W · 43 L+15.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9568…6a47backed Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb79a…6052backed No31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+160.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b35…fd5dbacked No28c90.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e4…cb66backed No23c89.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed No25c85.66$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9921820.2%44 W · 174 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0509…6e98backed Yes73c85.09$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.820331.5%64 W · 139 L-14.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x199d…589abacked No25c80.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2361…e16ebacked No25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208058.8%47 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eb3…9c62backed Yes71c75.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed No21c74.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.613324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d8…9532backed No34c73.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c60…2227backed Yes70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55a4…94c1backed Yes77c67.39$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91a2…cc98backed Yes80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76d0…5e07backed Yes71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…d95cbacked Yes74c56.17$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.525156.9%29 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x902d…1f3fbacked Yes72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.565356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9099…8491backed Yes72c55.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.274955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71be…61a0backed Yes72c50.35$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.35977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd40d…5652backed No20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6e5…2244backed No25c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4608.3%5 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81d1…4e30backed Yes67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90c8…9617backed Yes69c49.85$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.615530.3%47 W · 108 L-20.2wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-43.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd2d5…1f99backed No30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1250%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38d5…063cbacked Yes76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.68100%8 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+63.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64d7…4d00backed Yes77c37.66$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6621357.3%122 W · 91 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x935e…f456backed Yes69c35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.851181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick72cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d3…cc60backed Yes67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d62…fc71backed Yes67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.94087.5%35 W · 5 L+7.6wins+0.19per pick68cpaid+28.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcebf…9e38backed Yes74c29.87$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.87771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick77cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44fa…ddabbacked Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851662.5%10 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick75cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce88…7423backed Yes75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f1…c502backed Yes76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.321566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c27…494bbacked Yes77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23cb…658ebacked Yes69c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.133050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5086…5080backed Yes78c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b9…b193backed Yes67c20.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb4b…9486backed Yes73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.