MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54dccf4b7a36ea071aad0433ad34cd57da3f185d432c8e51522c92566d9865cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Braves, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 63c | 9,077$5,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.21 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 33c | 8,321$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.91 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Braves | 51c | 4,072$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.56 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Red Sox | 48c | 3,819$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Red Sox | 46c | 2,182$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Red Sox | 46c | 2,157$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Red Sox | 42c | 2,047$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.54 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 65c | 1,814$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 54c | 1,650$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.93 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Braves | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Sox | 40c | 990.11$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.55 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Braves | 59c | 656.24$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.54 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Braves | 70c | 610.81$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.81 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 51c | 547.69$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.37 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Braves | 54c | 444.57$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Braves | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Braves | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves | 70c | 389.56$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.15 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Braves | 57c | 357.68$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.45 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Red Sox | 47c | 350$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Red Sox | 47c | 345.51$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.39 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Red Sox | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Braves | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Red Sox | 43c | 225.62$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Red Sox | 47c | 212.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed Braves | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Red Sox | 24c | 121.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Red Sox | 29c | 120.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Braves | 69c | 114.49$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Braves | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Red Sox | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3f…ea30backed Braves | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Braves | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Braves | 59c | 74.53$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x369a…c545backed Braves | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Red Sox | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Braves | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…a785backed Braves | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Red Sox | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Braves | 62c | 52.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Braves | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca14…ba70backed Red Sox | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1042…6bfdbacked Red Sox | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Red Sox | 49c | 49.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Braves | 68c | 47.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…80c0backed Red Sox | 46c | 44.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Red Sox | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5945…ac63backed Braves | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6959…a90fbacked Red Sox | 48c | 37.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Red Sox | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Braves | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Braves | 55c | 33.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3c…af44backed Red Sox | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa544…2d66backed Braves | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb254…8935backed Braves | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Braves | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…3b80backed Red Sox | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…1a6ebacked Red Sox | 48c | 25.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…9e78backed Red Sox | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Braves | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Braves | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.