TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6959…a90f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2025, EDT3554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.26
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$19.65
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+150%+$15
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Senators vs. Penguinsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Predatorsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Devils vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rangers vs. Ducksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Red Wings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$9.79
Predators vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Canucks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$11.59
Blue Jackets vs. Penguinsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Kraken vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Kings vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$24.66
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$15.19
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rangers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Utah vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Oilers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Rangers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.3
Canadiens vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$12.51
Canucks vs. Flamesbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$15.27
Sabres vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$11.47
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST2842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$27.45
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.3
Trail Blazers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+45.4%+$9.54
Grizzlies vs. Thunderbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$11.62
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+37%+$9.62
Bucks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$17.82
Bulls vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Kings vs. Sunsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.7
Raptors vs. Jazzbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$14.67
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$19.64
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$9.7
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+25%+$6.75
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+61.3%+$15.33
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+56.3%+$14.63
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Heat vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.69
Arkansas vs. Texas Techbacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
Oklahoma vs. UConnbacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$14.15
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Braves vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.