NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb687c1cdcfaffec096ed3faf1493db4a4f1610291c3ca4cbac9d7fe9be6b98a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $380,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $412,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $380,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 866 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Bulls | 32c | 47,578$15,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,349.87 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Bulls | 0c | 30,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bulls | 2c | 27,440$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.22 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Bulls | 10c | 21,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Pistons | 73c | 18,264$13,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,966.5 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 68c | 14,256$9,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,561.88 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bulls | 0c | 14,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Pistons | 66c | 10,608$6,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,608.98 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Pistons | 68c | 10,116$6,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,201.02 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Pistons | 68c | 9,350$6,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,982.22 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Bulls | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons | 63c | 4,800$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.09 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Bulls | 1c | 4,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Bulls | 37c | 4,018$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Bulls | 1c | 3,845$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pistons | 63c | 3,593$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.93 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Bulls | 13c | 3,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.99 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Bulls | 36c | 3,448$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.27 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Bulls | 1c | 2,425$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pistons | 64c | 2,157$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.6 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Pistons | 64c | 2,113$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.14 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Bulls | 37c | 2,030$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.1 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf31…d3d1backed Bulls | 37c | 2,000$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…d01fbacked Pistons | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c3…16adbacked Bulls | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef3…d60ebacked Pistons | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Bulls | 26c | 1,955$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.14 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Bulls | 37c | 1,824$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.82 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Pistons | 63c | 1,765$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.23 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Pistons | 64c | 1,683$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.03 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Bulls | 35c | 1,667$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.45 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Bulls | 37c | 1,649$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…7f1fbacked Pistons | 66c | 1,635$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.85 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7206…90d9backed Pistons | 64c | 1,521$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pistons | 63c | 1,363$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.69 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f8…e042backed Bulls | 37c | 1,348$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Bulls | 37c | 1,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Pistons | 80c | 1,314$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.4 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Bulls | 37c | 1,285$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.45 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2209…823ebacked Pistons | 64c | 1,173$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.44 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…0fbfbacked Bulls | 37c | 1,170$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Bulls | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f0…bb27backed Bulls | 2c | 1,041$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pistons | 70c | 1,032$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.31 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Bulls | 36c | 1,020$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.4 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pistons | 65c | 1,015$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.53 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Pistons | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.17 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Bulls | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Bulls | 36c | 999.95$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7d…5151backed Bulls | 37c | 956.76$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Pistons | 63c | 922.67$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.49 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bulls | 34c | 882$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ea…70a4backed Pistons | 64c | 878.26$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.18 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Pistons | 64c | 874.38$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.78 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Bulls | 37c | 870.12$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.94 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Pistons | 75c | 864.7$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.61 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d15…018ebacked Bulls | 45c | 805$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6929…0e4bbacked Pistons | 66c | 800$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa079…247abacked Pistons | 55c | 795$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14b…1e20backed Pistons | 64c | 724.85$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…d568backed Bulls | 37c | 713.57$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd835…0d2dbacked Bulls | 39c | 606.28$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bulls | 36c | 605$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.55 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Bulls | 4c | 600$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Bulls | 30c | 589.68$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.97 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pistons | 64c | 581$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.91 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…a709backed Bulls | 37c | 564.87$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Bulls | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pistons | 62c | 504.35$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pistons | 63c | 503.98$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.47 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Bulls | 8c | 500$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…a057backed Pistons | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…1305backed Bulls | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb80…69dabacked Bulls | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee2…251bbacked Pistons | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf486…e6dfbacked Bulls | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacc…be87backed Pistons | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…611fbacked Bulls | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…2d54backed Pistons | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…f1babacked Pistons | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…59a4backed Bulls | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…4c4bbacked Bulls | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…357fbacked Pistons | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…c2bbbacked Pistons | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…eb45backed Pistons | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe487…6754backed Bulls | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3136…1a1dbacked Pistons | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x029f…afacbacked Bulls | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…7cabbacked Pistons | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…1ebabacked Bulls | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa730…3806backed Bulls | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c97…1054backed Bulls | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…a619backed Pistons | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…12dabacked Pistons | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…7242backed Bulls | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5934…d2e7backed Bulls | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…6662backed Pistons | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1890…4b11backed Bulls | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e52…98d0backed Bulls | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…8328backed Bulls | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.