NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf82cedf1f2af22f9318b9069871f26f206f6b31f4346305750c164891103419c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Senators, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Senators | 44c | 6,067$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,409.89 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Senators | 42c | 6,066$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,538.41 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8d…d880backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 3,802$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…edbfbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 3,460$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3a…0a11backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 3,240$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Maple Leafs | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Maple Leafs | 8c | 2,110$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.5 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Senators | 41c | 1,539$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,498$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.88 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e9…0501backed Senators | 44c | 1,498$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.88 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +47%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…c45cbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 1,177$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 1,109$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.91 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Senators | 40c | 1,023$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.64 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…6929backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 981.95$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…4602backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 862.38$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 805.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.29 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Senators | 46c | 731.42$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.97 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Senators | 42c | 704.94$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.49 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Senators | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 643.51$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.37 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Senators | 43c | 596$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.72 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 535.7$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.92 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Senators | 41c | 479.56$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.02 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Senators | 41c | 476.28$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.65 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cf…8833backed Senators | 44c | 361.46$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba7c…a3cbbacked Senators | 44c | 341.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Senators | 43c | 324.8$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.13 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Senators | 53c | 286.22$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.7 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5613…10c9backed Senators | 44c | 280$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 249.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.26 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 236.78$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6800…bb6fbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 220$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcd…c913backed Senators | 43c | 220$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22a8…019ebacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…6214backed Senators | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3068…7d29backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 196.43$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…64adbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 185.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4187…d074backed Senators | 43c | 180$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda0b…5b2bbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…321dbacked Senators | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8f…3435backed Senators | 43c | 173.54$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.92 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +68%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Senators | 45c | 171$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6a…ea96backed Senators | 43c | 170$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…1b6bbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 170$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 170$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…1d67backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 160$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb484…69bbbacked Senators | 42c | 160$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…439bbacked Senators | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…1974backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 147$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa595…95a5backed Senators | 44c | 147$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Senators | 48c | 132.54$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…461dbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 125.54$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1c…d6bebacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 123.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd3…ef83backed Senators | 47c | 116.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…958dbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…fda0backed Senators | 47c | 110.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7060…29a7backed Senators | 45c | 106.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…0c49backed Senators | 47c | 100.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Senators | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d4…6a08backed Senators | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b1…3a8abacked Senators | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…1558backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x096f…5edfbacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 99.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…c129backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 97.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf794…d782backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 97.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4f…2ce5backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 94.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…82dfbacked Senators | 47c | 94.06$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b4…b953backed Senators | 42c | 90$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbebe…b4debacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4d…aea0backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff3…88e9backed Senators | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…1a4ebacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 89.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf46…3c69backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 88.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59be…c8f9backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 88.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fb…ca7abacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda9…3d16backed Senators | 47c | 86.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Senators | 44c | 83.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfc…e235backed Senators | 46c | 80.89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…abffbacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb26f…4eb9backed Senators | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x402d…2a64backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821a…d2bbbacked Senators | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96c…087ebacked Senators | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…d8ccbacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860b…e6a3backed Senators | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…c87ebacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Senators | 42c | 77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c5…6132backed Senators | 43c | 75.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x811a…d5eebacked Senators | 44c | 72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c4…d114backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…4e88backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.