TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,519
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,871

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,519 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x571c…c16abacked Yes24c35,417$8,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,50010848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No76c29,423$22,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,078.4413857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Yes51c11,065$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No52c10,959$5,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,307.4879650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No76c8,792$6,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,110.1911454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No75c4,287$3,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.0220744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa14b…b944backed Yes24c4,167$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes27c3,550$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No74c2,448$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.7321353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No74c2,127$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.8883459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes27c2,008$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.159111%10 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc164…5fcebacked Yes44c2,000$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8881618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-71.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes36c1,900$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68969772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No68c1,868$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.9638645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes25c1,500$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38014732%47 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab46…eb4ebacked No75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.33666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes25c1,317$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.2621445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No58c1,155$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.9814953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Yes22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed No79c929.58$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.424353.5%23 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed No72c833.33$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3312053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes27c802.99$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.0817447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes35c800$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes28c790$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.230666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xc814…dc7cbacked Yes25c700$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes26c619$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16042048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked No73c598.96$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.729255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes26c530.16$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.845442.6%23 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f30…f73bbacked Yes26c485$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No74c403.61$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7781559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6d9…ed60backed Yes27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1088747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11fb…31d6backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked No63c318.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.65257.7%30 W · 22 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+103.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes28c308.21$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8722932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked No55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13511761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40a3…6ed8backed Yes25c282.56$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.641241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf4…15ddbacked No60c278.85$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.191752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8df6…4462backed Yes27c251.85$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+69.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a37…2c5fbacked Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87a4…10a0backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x260d…9679backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5377…e6dabacked Yes29c206.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2798…3d88backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509436.2%34 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cdc…7cddbacked Yes26c190.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes27c182.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013552.6%71 W · 64 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae2d…8f7bbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes13c153.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.415825.9%15 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf392…df89backed Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes26c138.01$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2868942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No68c135.35$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8279639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed No74c135.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.22965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No72c126.42$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2118752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab30…d8cebacked Yes25c121.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.26per pick35cpaid-84%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4f7c…3b96backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+52.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2266031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a09…4a9ebacked Yes24c99.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.92733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No74c89.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9865557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No71c85.98$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8552060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x716a…f6cfbacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205242.3%22 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes23c82.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.036953.6%37 W · 32 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No74c81$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6759958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc08…6bd3backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8764…069dbacked Yes22c80$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.62347.8%11 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+56.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No79c75.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9542862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f46…b84bbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-49.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed No77c72.21$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6136845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b95…8affbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8586…f25dbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe02e…88d5backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa124…4891backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdf…84b8backed No74c69$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.94757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1024…8fd1backed No75c64$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-60.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d1…b694backed Yes27c62.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid+19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc89e…6a30backed Yes25c60.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…3a83backed Yes28c57.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161625%4 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes27c48.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1326054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x752e…ecbfbacked No73c43.84$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.841361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2490…303dbacked Yes28c42.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6959…a90fbacked Yes29c42.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.34333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105541.8%23 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbf…e02dbacked Yes28c39.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe555…782fbacked Yes32c37.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7f…71c7backed No70c25.71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.711361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.