TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will West Ham win on 2025-05-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,323
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,791

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,323 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7fed…89cbbacked Yes52c32,405$16,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,850.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…d16abacked No48c32,155$15,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,720.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes54c18,523$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00010848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes51c13,223$6,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,743.636953.6%37 W · 32 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No46c8,450$3,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,559.4413857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No49c7,500$3,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,82532037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No46c5,051$2,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,727.230851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7239…6591backed No49c4,909$2,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,503.841457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No48c2,705$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.2883459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No59c2,690$1,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.8738645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.159238%35 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37af…4086backed Yes49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.96757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes29c1,700$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49430666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No50c1,566$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.874553.3%24 W · 21 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+55.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes49c1,285$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.5220744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes51c1,175$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.3714544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6418…f8a6backed Yes49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No49c1,000$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.3534643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49019743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xf25d…1134backed No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked No51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.394146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed No49c821.1$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.245345.3%24 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed No52c751.87$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.717447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked No54c674.78$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.49255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes51c600$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30521153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccdc…567bbacked Yes10c554.43$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.164134.1%14 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7221…df5ebacked No75c534.73$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.733043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-42.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No50c517$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.556453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ae3…fad6backed No50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c1…6038backed No50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Yes45c491.5$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes46c485.54$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.321,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No46c459.94$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.8721445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa088…d438backed Yes44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No47c420.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.2181559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde44…2adcbacked No72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.67955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ba8…f9f7backed Yes49c409.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d9…ed60backed No54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1848747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes46c382.78$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.0879650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa3…072dbacked Yes50c329.41$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1655558.2%32 W · 23 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No51c306.35$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0452060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2444939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Yes50c280$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No49c251.67$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3521353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.55442.6%23 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddc1…4485backed No48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+90.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34c5…f2afbacked Yes45c241.96$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.882846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked No48c233.99$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.684839.6%19 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked No49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.084332.6%14 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No59c200$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.279639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005151%26 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed No55c197.51$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.883537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No48c167$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8442048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes32c158.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No49c148.26$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6111454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No47c140$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5665557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No47c125.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.259958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes42c113.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6717153.8%92 W · 79 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78c2…8316backed Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bef…1617backed No51c106.35$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba13…de89backed Yes51c105.61$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…d52ebacked No50c105$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bb3…48b2backed No51c102.16$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00f4…2699backed No51c101.76$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x925e…c71ebacked Yes50c100.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2927752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe112…987cbacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4669772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507061.4%43 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked No48c99.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.997651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x576a…50b0backed No51c99.78$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6db1…2e23backed Yes51c98.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb20a…b4acbacked No49c98.35$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7bb…d5dabacked No51c97.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91c0…0fdfbacked No49c97.78$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3c…72c9backed Yes53c97.11$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5503…4f5fbacked Yes52c96.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78e8…6e0bbacked No49c96.55$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4630…a058backed Yes52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cdd…3b42backed No51c95.73$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3cc…9bbabacked Yes52c95.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.53450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10f7…223bbacked Yes53c94.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe845…9a61backed Yes51c94.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2142…82d9backed Yes51c93.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.91540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa15e…9a39backed Yes51c93.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf73…f4f2backed No51c92.27$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe7…a1a1backed Yes51c91.63$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda8…bf64backed No51c91.29$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.733100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+103.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb103…3aa5backed Yes51c91.08$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9b6…abe2backed Yes51c91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x635d…a2f6backed Yes51c90.92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.37425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x793e…5e06backed Yes51c90.47$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed No55c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.59756.7%55 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b9…8fabbacked No49c89.78$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.792100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b9a…32a2backed Yes51c89.61$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x384b…d038backed No51c89.35$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84e2…2d10backed No51c89.29$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.