NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd608d781b1e9a614a94d084b8cfa6f7999b7d25b49f72664ea6ec18aa25609c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Cavaliers, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $500,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $499,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $500,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 878 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pistons | 30c | 41,588$12,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,251.86 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Cavaliers | 69c | 18,193$12,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,558.07 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Cavaliers | 51c | 17,992$9,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,208.27 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Cavaliers | 71c | 14,553$10,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,332.92 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons | 31c | 13,036$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,033.74 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Cavaliers | 1c | 11,730$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.24 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pistons | 54c | 10,252$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,732.41 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Cavaliers | 71c | 9,979$7,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,111.15 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cavaliers | 48c | 9,500$4,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,514.97 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cavaliers | 69c | 8,405$5,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,832.28 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Pistons | 57c | 7,694$4,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,296.6 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Cavaliers | 1c | 7,121$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d2…cfb1backed Pistons | 31c | 6,931$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,782.26 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Cavaliers | 6c | 6,870$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.11 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pistons | 30c | 6,512$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,538.79 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Pistons | 33c | 6,174$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,143.89 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Cavaliers | 61c | 6,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640.09 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Cavaliers | 67c | 5,833$3,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,881.5 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pistons | 31c | 5,784$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,006.56 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cavaliers | 67c | 5,532$3,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,706.74 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Pistons | 33c | 5,438$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,644.92 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Cavaliers | 70c | 5,409$3,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,775.14 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Cavaliers | 35c | 5,338$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.4 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Cavaliers | 54c | 5,100$2,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,757.99 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pistons | 52c | 5,092$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.76 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Cavaliers | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Cavaliers | 68c | 5,000$3,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,404 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Cavaliers | 68c | 5,000$3,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,383.96 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Pistons | 79c | 5,000$3,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.86 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pistons | 44c | 4,769$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.19 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Cavaliers | 28c | 4,420$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.5 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Cavaliers | 2c | 4,400$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Cavaliers | 69c | 4,340$3,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,006.71 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Cavaliers | 42c | 4,264$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.5 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Cavaliers | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cavaliers | 65c | 3,683$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.28 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Pistons | 31c | 3,618$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496.35 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 3,542$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Cavaliers | 70c | 3,234$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.03 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cavaliers | 23c | 3,091$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.02 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Cavaliers | 65c | 3,000$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.26 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…602cbacked Cavaliers | 17c | 3,000$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Cavaliers | 13c | 3,000$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Cavaliers | 16c | 2,965$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.66 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…d4f3backed Cavaliers | 69c | 2,747$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Pistons | 30c | 2,569$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.31 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers | 68c | 2,300$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.95 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Cavaliers | 67c | 2,190$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.19 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pistons | 64c | 2,151$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.37 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x541b…088fbacked Pistons | 30c | 2,073$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…36c9backed Cavaliers | 71c | 2,013$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Cavaliers | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…ba05backed Pistons | 35c | 1,998$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Pistons | 30c | 1,986$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.85 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Cavaliers | 29c | 1,900$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Cavaliers | 70c | 1,858$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.43 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Cavaliers | 65c | 1,800$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.99 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pistons | 33c | 1,584$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.8 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7502…beafbacked Cavaliers | 65c | 1,573$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.81 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Pistons | 30c | 1,563$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.75 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Cavaliers | 70c | 1,522$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.55 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Cavaliers | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Pistons | 29c | 1,418$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.64 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Cavaliers | 70c | 1,407$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.9 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Cavaliers | 8c | 1,400$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Cavaliers | 14c | 1,336$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 17c | 1,312$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.69 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Cavaliers | 71c | 1,286$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.72 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x335f…55c8backed Pistons | 31c | 1,269$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a03…2ca1backed Cavaliers | 70c | 1,269$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46a…5adbbacked Cavaliers | 40c | 1,249$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cavaliers | 70c | 1,206$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.2 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Cavaliers | 70c | 1,203$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.95 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Cavaliers | 67c | 1,185$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.95 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Pistons | 45c | 1,182$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.19 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Cavaliers | 56c | 1,178$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.48 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdb…5ae8backed Pistons | 35c | 1,141$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Cavaliers | 27c | 1,100$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.62 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…dc5dbacked Cavaliers | 2c | 1,070$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Cavaliers | 67c | 1,052$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…f405backed Pistons | 31c | 1,038$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Pistons | 79c | 1,014$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.92 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Cavaliers | 33c | 1,003$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.58 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Cavaliers | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Pistons | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed Pistons | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Pistons | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4b…24d0backed Pistons | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pistons | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Pistons | 31c | 999$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.31 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cavaliers | 74c | 918.59$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.16 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Cavaliers | 68c | 909$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.12 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…bfacbacked Pistons | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.35 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Cavaliers | 52c | 864.44$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.51 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Cavaliers | 70c | 850$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…51d3backed Pistons | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.45 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Cavaliers | 66c | 800$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Cavaliers | 58c | 799.99$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.99 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Cavaliers | 62c | 704.99$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.49 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.