TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$529,332
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$578,334

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $529,332 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x549f…c945backed Trail Blazers73c65,000$47,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,499.99875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Hawks42c46,446$19,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,469.5312938%49 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c9…96d9backed Trail Blazers37c45,372$16,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,763.672634.6%9 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Trail Blazers34c30,639$10,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,265.111,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks40c23,355$9,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,432.551,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Hawks66c22,953$15,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,110.557447.3%35 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Hawks50c21,418$10,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,698.2829957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Trail Blazers35c20,578$7,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,375.8328241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed Hawks0c19,877$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.484344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Hawks68c16,000$10,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,859.993652.8%19 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks35c15,130$5,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,259.633,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Hawks38c11,572$4,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,380.6480146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Hawks67c10,900$7,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,294.2428341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers33c10,419$3,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,928.841,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d09…25cabacked Hawks67c10,010$6,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,706.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea13…f4c1backed Trail Blazers33c10,010$3,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,706.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ad…7fc3backed Trail Blazers33c10,001$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,700.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x616c…2ef3backed Hawks67c10,000$6,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,70010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Hawks63c8,901$5,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,607.6315741.4%65 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf508…265cbacked Trail Blazers75c5,189$3,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.224484.1%37 W · 7 L+9.7wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Hawks0c5,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.753350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Trail Blazers34c5,000$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.991,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Hawks57c4,616$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,625.4888053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Trail Blazers75c4,557$3,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.9822049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers32c4,266$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,883.0746131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Trail Blazers32c3,964$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,695.3347848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Hawks65c3,848$2,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,515.8461345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Hawks65c3,846$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50010541%43 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd31a…a098backed Hawks15c3,300$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4952835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Hawks34c3,128$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.631,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hawks45c3,124$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.415,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43ae…5141backed Hawks65c3,077$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hawks67c3,016$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,019.761,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4698…6c24backed Hawks44c3,010$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.53756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…6bf5backed Hawks68c3,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0409557.9%55 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b8…5ce5backed Hawks66c3,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9803961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed Hawks65c2,989$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.1520553.7%110 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Trail Blazers32c2,920$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.630351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd9…dea4backed Trail Blazers35c2,857$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.14714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Hawks64c2,800$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.928347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Hawks67c2,649$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.6661851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Trail Blazers51c2,397$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.219451.5%100 W · 94 L-17.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Hawks65c2,042$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.0848046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Hawks10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Hawks62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24029747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers43c1,998$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.761,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Hawks68c1,919$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.6125865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Trail Blazers34c1,892$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.0437734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Hawks27c1,876$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.3170640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Hawks65c1,800$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Hawks68c1,753$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20084957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa38…ffb3backed Hawks10c1,750$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.4310925.7%28 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hawks64c1,687$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.251,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Hawks65c1,577$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.327731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Hawks67c1,562$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.1373647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2c4…a40abacked Hawks65c1,538$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Hawks64c1,500$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96036748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Hawks69c1,459$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00029643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Trail Blazers33c1,429$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.1420238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hawks64c1,359$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.7657760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Trail Blazers32c1,301$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.966853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Hawks54c1,300$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Hawks65c1,295$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.0517047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Hawks25c1,286$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.0747229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Hawks63c1,269$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.4737627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Trail Blazers78c1,253$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.5830061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Trail Blazers34c1,198$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.5377745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Hawks3c1,065$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.31434.9%7 W · 136 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Trail Blazers56c1,045$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.9615646.2%72 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Hawks26c1,000$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.7513248.5%64 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb34d…ef8bbacked Trail Blazers33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6701752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Hawks56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5608345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8377…4198backed Hawks16c999.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Trail Blazers31c999.98$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.9832130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Trail Blazers31c999.93$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.951,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Hawks48c899.99$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.7595848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hawks64c871.2$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.5796447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Hawks66c757.58$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020756%116 W · 91 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hawks64c748$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.61,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Hawks27c739.64$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5520851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers37c650$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.51,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25f2…edf8backed Hawks65c615$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.7510643.4%46 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Trail Blazers63c611.54$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.411,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Hawks56c600$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33868642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d5…31c3backed Trail Blazers33c600$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+51.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Hawks4c574.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.58783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Hawks25c524.05$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12940726%106 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Trail Blazers48c522.92$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.9216532.1%53 W · 112 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Hawks29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019535.4%69 W · 126 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9827…e5ffbacked Trail Blazers32c503.13$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.133050%15 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Hawks65c500.15$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.0824855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Trail Blazers34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33073051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Hawks63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31530351.8%157 W · 146 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Hawks65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3256747.8%32 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x105e…4741backed Trail Blazers38c465.77$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.93046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Hawks67c444$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.487055.7%39 W · 31 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7439…40d2backed Hawks52c415.95$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.3124844%109 W · 139 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59e6…4d8dbacked Hawks68c392.4$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0d…0ed4backed Hawks65c384.62$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501963.2%12 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75bf…aec2backed Trail Blazers33c363.64$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+126.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.