TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Wild

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildof Kings, Wild
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,162
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,288

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,162 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40e3…0787backed Wild52c5,499$2,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,636.532331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7239…6591backed Kings57c4,446$2,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,533.274151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97d8…70a8backed Wild41c3,753$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,214.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2bf…125dbacked Wild41c3,615$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,132.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+105.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kings58c3,355$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.431,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0954…4c84backed Kings59c2,540$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b29…7271backed Kings59c2,456$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3c0…9718backed Kings59c2,371$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Wild42c2,163$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.0751044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedd7…0356backed Wild42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1601338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d57…d7ffbacked Kings58c1,956$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.31464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Wild42c1,344$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.664242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Wild41c1,192$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.971,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x450f…d078backed Kings59c1,190$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.1540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf10a…b2d1backed Wild42c1,132$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.486940.6%28 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Kings12c1,111$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3221620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Kings56c1,100$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.9566951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kings1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87cf…25a4backed Kings60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kings58c1,000$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57785148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x588c…6929backed Wild41c999.99$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34c5…f2afbacked Kings58c995.66$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.488347%39 W · 44 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Wild50c948.65$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.31,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Wild48c826.72$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.727634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Wild42c796.99$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.0272444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc553…38a7backed Wild43c635.61$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.641675%12 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x57fc…b401backed Wild43c634.19$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.931154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings58c624.44$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.1597651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings50c541.01$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.643,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8267…d206backed Kings59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6afd…5a61backed Wild41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-51.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3484…22e9backed Wild42c495.24$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f4a…61c1backed Kings58c478.78$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.691936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6cb4…0215backed Kings58c475.21$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.621650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Wild42c474.96$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.4715663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5494…50f5backed Wild43c471.32$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.861668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x818d…24ddbacked Kings58c469.91$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.551435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xee06…80bdbacked Kings58c468.5$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.731540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Wild45c454.98$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.248139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Wild41c355$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.4575155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc824…f574backed Kings59c310$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.91250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec16…07f9backed Kings58c303.69$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1762751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e50…53cfbacked Wild43c274.31$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+130.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c4…6279backed Kings58c270.78$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wild42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.11,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Wild44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2724945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed Wild43c207.95$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.954156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79b2…4874backed Kings59c203.39$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Kings58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1168451.2%43 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd07f…6c05backed Wild43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68b0…c482backed Kings57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Wild50c195.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5541340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8332…11f1backed Kings57c180$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb50b…2009backed Wild43c180$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.6683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+71.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7054…6d9bbacked Wild43c177.37$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.11637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2d4…90c1backed Kings57c168$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.761752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5afb…57d0backed Wild43c168$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.761275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+42.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Wild42c167.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5484051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Wild42c151.35$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.998350.6%42 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Wild42c134.01$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.151,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…79e0backed Kings60c134$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.42055%11 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51c4…dc01backed Wild42c128.9$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.76450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa581…b0bcbacked Wild42c125$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+43.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Wild40c124.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3249351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeed0…e5c0backed Wild42c123.02$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Wild42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.051,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7322…1ff6backed Wild42c110.29$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71b7…958dbacked Kings58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011558.3%67 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Wild42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5835154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Kings58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5850857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Kings58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5821255.7%118 W · 94 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25c9…2c0ebacked Kings58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ecc…80a4backed Wild42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24be…9bd5backed Wild43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3f5…ee52backed Wild43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc473…811cbacked Kings57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Kings60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607651.3%39 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f78…c1a5backed Wild43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Wild50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502030%6 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35f8…be62backed Wild43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571275%9 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+64.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x68e3…9555backed Kings57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x008b…439bbacked Kings58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5e…e29bbacked Kings57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571414.3%2 W · 12 L-5.4wins-0.39per pick53cpaid-74.7%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xba40…b7b7backed Kings59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d4…f514backed Kings57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kings62c98.65$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2191334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36db…9fd7backed Wild41c94.44$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7211751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Wild37c93.86$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8641954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Kings55c93.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2937738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1048…43ffbacked Kings59c90.2$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe684…9202backed Kings57c90$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-71%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfaf8…45bdbacked Wild43c90$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c1…6428backed Kings59c89.61$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.87450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66d…745fbacked Kings59c89.12$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5850%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc5fe…8794backed Kings60c86.25$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ae6…ddc0backed Kings59c86.17$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe862…7d6bbacked Kings59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509955.6%55 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea29…0b0bbacked Kings59c84.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7e6…c104backed Wild42c84.07$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0474…9255backed Kings59c82.34$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.