TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Raptors, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$265,704
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$282,258

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,704 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Rockets72c29,465$21,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,218.9747656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Raptors23c19,530$4,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,452.9933931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rockets76c18,205$13,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,376.471,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors24c15,000$3,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,535.021,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Raptors35c10,035$3,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,51472241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Rockets70c9,514$6,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,814.7722049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Raptors45c8,072$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.9843653.2%232 W · 204 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58a3…279fbacked Rockets78c7,675$6,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.257163.4%45 W · 26 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x27f2…702cbacked Rockets69c7,082$4,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,203.89868.4%67 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Rockets79c6,380$5,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.6862351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Raptors21c5,500$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13046928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Raptors0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Rockets71c4,984$3,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.4636057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Raptors22c4,860$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.2896447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Raptors31c4,389$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.7947542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda6b…20bebacked Raptors24c4,166$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008343.4%36 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Raptors23c4,074$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.9716838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Rockets76c3,893$2,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.4550245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Raptors30c3,433$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.234532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Rockets77c3,192$2,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74612663.5%80 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Rockets76c3,048$2,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.5830251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Raptors24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72030826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Raptors22c2,959$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.7440627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors31c2,398$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.043,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Rockets77c2,265$1,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.0233752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Rockets75c2,197$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.8784957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Raptors23c2,026$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.0220238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Rockets77c2,016$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.4473051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rockets78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.981,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Raptors22c2,000$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.6325833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Raptors1c1,850$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.57502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Rockets59c1,740$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.6812657.1%72 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7a3…24bdbacked Rockets76c1,705$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.2850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Rockets56c1,700$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7466152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ae…0e43backed Raptors24c1,700$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4081172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick42cpaid+96.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9d02…edbfbacked Rockets59c1,691$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.461957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Raptors16c1,676$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.7661345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Rockets77c1,671$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.1577745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Rockets69c1,400$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4331,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc254…b899backed Raptors23c1,313$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.946121.3%13 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Raptors1c1,291$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.485502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Rockets76c1,248$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.5214161%86 W · 55 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rockets77c1,174$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.0257760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Raptors13c1,154$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Rockets45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.119849%48 W · 50 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Raptors2c1,092$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.891,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Rockets77c1,067$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.1125845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Rockets55c1,051$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.679534.7%33 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf11c…1290backed Rockets77c1,013$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.992326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Raptors45c1,005$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.4145135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Rockets75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25011939.5%47 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa67…0ef4backed Raptors45c1,000$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4488016.3%13 W · 67 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Rockets60c1,000$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.281,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab8b…3d1ebacked Raptors22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Raptors21c999.88$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9732130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Rockets76c952.5$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.620047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Raptors48c937.5$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45029652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Raptors27c926.3$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010533.3%35 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Rockets77c909.57$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.3917047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Raptors24c856$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.441,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Raptors14c814.59$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0719231.3%60 W · 132 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockets68c800$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2541,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Raptors24c799.99$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19251037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Raptors40c784$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.6670640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Raptors24c767$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.081,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec9…8ef2backed Raptors24c764.19$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.412425%6 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Raptors31c750.84$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.718632.8%61 W · 125 L-12.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x645e…d120backed Raptors21c714.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015341.8%64 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…6bd1backed Raptors31c672.31$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.83568.6%24 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Rockets78c645.67$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.0527840.6%113 W · 165 L-22.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72fe…2a60backed Raptors37c610.08$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.645647.8%218 W · 238 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Raptors22c604.99$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7985542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…0ee5backed Raptors23c586.96$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13528651.4%147 W · 139 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Raptors36c561.64$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.097349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1af…d23bbacked Rockets70c559.91$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.2810158.4%59 W · 42 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Raptors25c541.48$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3713140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Rockets60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.2524855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Raptors20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Rockets79c499.96$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.996358.7%37 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7797…14a7backed Raptors24c495.83$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1191650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce2…9c99backed Rockets77c494.81$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.811435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rockets73c458.92$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5888053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x938a…a941backed Rockets73c411.13$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.281963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x471f…f60abacked Rockets75c400.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.334575.6%34 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Rockets77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9250453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac56…5b67backed Raptors49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1968252.4%43 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae1e…7c4cbacked Raptors21c399.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827241.7%30 W · 42 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+4.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e2a…0e15backed Raptors25c399.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006746.3%31 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf650…3109backed Raptors50c382.46$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.23911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-85.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9ea…70a4backed Rockets50c380$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1908100%8 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+93.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Raptors46c360.79$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.962634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Raptors8c351.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1626235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718c…f792backed Rockets67c350$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1177441.9%31 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa9…39a1backed Rockets66c350$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.7548741.9%204 W · 283 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28cc…e24cbacked Raptors49c347.82$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.331030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-40%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd334…fcc2backed Raptors24c306.67$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.624725.9%64 W · 183 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Raptors23c305.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7050047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Rockets58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12629747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Rockets65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10531935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…7ff3backed Raptors24c297.92$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7228651.4%147 W · 139 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.