NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5eab50177666a57042fc98ee38e9f28c1392e548b922e8ab558eb7acf5013a2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Bucks, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $712,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $729,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $712,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Bucks | 16c | 33,100$5,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,296 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…9ac8backed Bucks | 18c | 31,830$5,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,735.2 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Bucks | 24c | 24,842$5,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,848.4 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Nuggets | 65c | 19,717$12,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,925.32 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks | 30c | 17,821$5,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,373.28 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Nuggets | 71c | 16,554$11,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,795.15 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Nuggets | 77c | 16,141$12,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,651.11 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks | 8c | 15,369$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.61 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Bucks | 11c | 14,451$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.4 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Nuggets | 69c | 13,696$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,246.4 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Nuggets | 78c | 12,796$10,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777.11 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets | 72c | 11,929$8,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,398.84 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Bucks | 22c | 11,166$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.37 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Bucks | 19c | 10,573$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Bucks | 19c | 10,283$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks | 19c | 10,206$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.97 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…a549backed Bucks | 36c | 10,026$3,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,609.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…e65cbacked Bucks | 36c | 10,020$3,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,607.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x774a…98f2backed Bucks | 36c | 10,018$3,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,606.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Bucks | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.98 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c08…5d69backed Nuggets | 64c | 9,999$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeef…0cbfbacked Nuggets | 64c | 9,998$6,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce28…a046backed Bucks | 36c | 9,998$3,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…f452backed Nuggets | 64c | 9,997$6,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf99…0bd4backed Nuggets | 64c | 9,997$6,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,598.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…53b1backed Nuggets | 64c | 9,996$6,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,598.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +198.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…a24cbacked Bucks | 36c | 9,995$3,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,598.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Bucks | 6c | 9,724$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.44 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bucks | 11c | 8,296$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.69 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Bucks | 26c | 6,655$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.02 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Nuggets | 77c | 6,529$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.93 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Bucks | 19c | 6,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Nuggets | 76c | 5,298$4,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.63 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Bucks | 19c | 5,052$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.89 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Bucks | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Bucks | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bucks | 31c | 4,935$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.3 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Bucks | 19c | 4,737$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Bucks | 23c | 4,600$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.99 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Bucks | 20c | 4,552$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.43 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Bucks | 35c | 4,275$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.08 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Bucks | 20c | 4,179$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.75 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Bucks | 39c | 4,047$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.39 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Bucks | 28c | 3,964$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.15 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bucks | 13c | 3,901$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.11 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bucks | 5c | 3,500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Nuggets | 62c | 3,023$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.8 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Bucks | 10c | 2,984$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Bucks | 28c | 2,892$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.73 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Bucks | 36c | 2,568$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.18 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Nuggets | 80c | 2,468$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.75 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Bucks | 1c | 2,200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Bucks | 19c | 2,175$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.3 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Bucks | 12c | 2,045$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.07 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bucks | 36c | 2,020$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.36 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Bucks | 18c | 2,004$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Bucks | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…2799backed Bucks | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bucks | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Bucks | 29c | 1,985$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.65 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bucks | 1c | 1,950$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Bucks | 20c | 1,949$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.35 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Bucks | 26c | 1,902$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.22 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…4874backed Bucks | 18c | 1,863$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.66 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Bucks | 1c | 1,836$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Bucks | 11c | 1,744$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bucks | 26c | 1,714$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.59 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x352d…ef4bbacked Nuggets | 62c | 1,668$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.77 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09d5…3926backed Bucks | 38c | 1,666$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Nuggets | 65c | 1,549$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.61 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Bucks | 20c | 1,531$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.27 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Nuggets | 65c | 1,529$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.24 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Nuggets | 69c | 1,500$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Bucks | 34c | 1,480$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.2 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Bucks | 37c | 1,460$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.19 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Bucks | 11c | 1,446$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.07 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nuggets | 80c | 1,397$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.4 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…602cbacked Bucks | 10c | 1,355$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.01 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5f…a2f6backed Bucks | 6c | 1,314$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -71%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bucks | 24c | 1,313$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.78 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Nuggets | 63c | 1,269$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.45 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Bucks | 21c | 1,218$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Bucks | 20c | 1,200$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…ef8bbacked Nuggets | 64c | 1,200$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d1…43a0backed Bucks | 13c | 1,154$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…b99abacked Bucks | 35c | 1,131$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Bucks | 1c | 1,100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Bucks | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 24c | 1,051$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.52 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bucks | 29c | 1,016$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.61 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…f47bbacked Nuggets | 72c | 1,007$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Bucks | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Bucks | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Bucks | 20c | 985.6$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.12 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Nuggets | 76c | 866.34$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.98 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Bucks | 10c | 820$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…c879backed Bucks | 18c | 816.67$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Bucks | 19c | 789.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…9f20backed Bucks | 26c | 762.92$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.36 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Nuggets | 75c | 750$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.