NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2352a95dc2fd88ca213e08fec8c2124d98ae9c3187f67e0009017c2afc06e01e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Grizzlies, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $384,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 17c | 14,816$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.39 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 19c | 14,015$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.68 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Grizzlies | 19c | 10,865$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.66 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…9d14backed Grizzlies | 20c | 10,073$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684e…1717backed Grizzlies | 20c | 10,045$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…2e68backed Grizzlies | 20c | 10,038$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5112…fe58backed Thunder | 80c | 10,012$8,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca6…ca05backed Thunder | 80c | 9,995$7,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…ce83backed Thunder | 80c | 9,987$7,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Grizzlies | 20c | 9,038$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Grizzlies | 18c | 6,163$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Thunder | 74c | 6,000$4,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.02 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…9ac8backed Grizzlies | 18c | 5,907$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.22 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Grizzlies | 18c | 5,648$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.08 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Grizzlies | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Grizzlies | 23c | 5,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…4cf6backed Thunder | 79c | 4,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.33 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Grizzlies | 19c | 3,923$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.31 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Grizzlies | 18c | 3,414$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.12 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Thunder | 79c | 3,290$2,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.36 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Grizzlies | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Grizzlies | 19c | 2,288$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.65 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 18c | 2,164$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.54 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Grizzlies | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Grizzlies | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Thunder | 78c | 1,998$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.55 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Grizzlies | 20c | 1,639$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.19 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Grizzlies | 18c | 1,600$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed Grizzlies | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Grizzlies | 18c | 1,474$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.53 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Grizzlies | 1c | 1,433$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Grizzlies | 5c | 1,400$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Grizzlies | 13c | 1,261$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.14 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Grizzlies | 17c | 1,260$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.85 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Thunder | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 79c | 1,249$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.28 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Grizzlies | 18c | 1,227$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Grizzlies | 19c | 1,200$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Thunder | 79c | 1,153$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.67 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Grizzlies | 18c | 1,112$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed Thunder | 78c | 1,068$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.94 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Grizzlies | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Grizzlies | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Thunder | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Grizzlies | 18c | 999.89$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Grizzlies | 26c | 899.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Grizzlies | 24c | 864.66$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Grizzlies | 20c | 787.31$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.77 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Thunder | 80c | 782.1$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.84 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…51d3backed Grizzlies | 20c | 731.67$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.02 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies | 21c | 700$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0219…49efbacked Thunder | 78c | 666$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Thunder | 80c | 624.97$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.99 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2447…b512backed Thunder | 73c | 620.47$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Thunder | 80c | 570$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Grizzlies | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Thunder | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Grizzlies | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Grizzlies | 8c | 490$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Thunder | 79c | 487.84$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.45 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9e…5033backed Grizzlies | 19c | 477.32$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Grizzlies | 25c | 400.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…b720backed Grizzlies | 21c | 380.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc3…3febbacked Thunder | 79c | 375$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 83 | 73.5%61 W · 22 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Thunder | 77c | 365.39$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.21 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Grizzlies | 14c | 338.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Grizzlies | 20c | 333$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Thunder | 80c | 315$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6929…0e4bbacked Grizzlies | 23c | 305.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.39 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Grizzlies | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Grizzlies | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Grizzlies | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Grizzlies | 34c | 294.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Grizzlies | 18c | 278$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e2…6c2ebacked Grizzlies | 19c | 257.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Grizzlies | 21c | 253.7$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Thunder | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Grizzlies | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ac…5e6ebacked Grizzlies | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 2.8%2 W · 70 L | -12.1wins | -0.17per pick | 20cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Grizzlies | 22c | 246.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Grizzlies | 16c | 229.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Grizzlies | 28c | 203.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…af6ebacked Grizzlies | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3caa…4a0bbacked Thunder | 78c | 189.76$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Grizzlies | 8c | 176.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 108 | 8.3%9 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Grizzlies | 17c | 152$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb06…72b6backed Grizzlies | 19c | 147.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…6bdabacked Grizzlies | 19c | 142.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Grizzlies | 18c | 133.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e7…c0dbbacked Thunder | 78c | 128.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…3213backed Thunder | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d6…f330backed Grizzlies | 18c | 126.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Thunder | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 146 | 67.1%98 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe8…ae5bbacked Grizzlies | 19c | 117.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf789…7702backed Grizzlies | 19c | 116.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…a78fbacked Grizzlies | 19c | 111.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7322…2e7abacked Thunder | 75c | 109$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…a254backed Grizzlies | 25c | 109$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Grizzlies | 16c | 104.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 352 | 35.2%124 W · 228 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.