NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76e1dc681f4c859d2b2a1fb9d4b9c92540dbb05542e731290a54c39f358a560e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Pacers, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $680,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $712,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $680,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 59c | 42,726$25,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,078.54 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…61eebacked Pacers | 77c | 33,414$25,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,618.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Wizards | 9c | 21,656$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.38 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Wizards | 30c | 18,690$5,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,696.48 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Wizards | 65c | 14,070$9,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,112.69 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Wizards | 45c | 10,021$4,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550.83 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers | 40c | 9,848$3,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,946.92 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Wizards | 34c | 9,684$3,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,251.68 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Pacers | 78c | 7,736$6,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Pacers | 30c | 7,292$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,105.42 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Pacers | 41c | 6,561$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,867.47 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Wizards | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Pacers | 78c | 4,791$3,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.32 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pacers | 39c | 4,196$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,553.18 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Wizards | 21c | 3,981$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.75 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Wizards | 60c | 3,833$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Pacers | 79c | 3,675$2,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.31 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Pacers | 66c | 3,010$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.25 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Wizards | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Wizards | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.98 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Pacers | 26c | 2,996$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.35 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…adb7backed Pacers | 66c | 2,944$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.05 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Wizards | 20c | 2,871$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.65 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Pacers | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Pacers | 30c | 2,500$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.39 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Wizards | 19c | 2,078$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.88 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Wizards | 75c | 2,004$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Wizards | 12c | 2,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…0300backed Wizards | 70c | 1,968$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Wizards | 18c | 1,823$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.18 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Wizards | 35c | 1,731$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.1 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Pacers | 59c | 1,709$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.74 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…57efbacked Wizards | 21c | 1,643$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Wizards | 61c | 1,637$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.57 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Wizards | 19c | 1,628$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.32 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Wizards | 65c | 1,510$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.4 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Wizards | 38c | 1,444$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Wizards | 56c | 1,310$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.6 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Pacers | 79c | 1,253$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.16 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x896f…9cd4backed Pacers | 47c | 1,171$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.07 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Wizards | 42c | 1,159$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.85 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Wizards | 34c | 1,141$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.08 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed Pacers | 80c | 1,088$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.55 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Wizards | 20c | 1,050$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f8…e042backed Pacers | 80c | 1,021$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Wizards | 21c | 1,008$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.43 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pacers | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…c518backed Wizards | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed Pacers | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…5a27backed Pacers | 79c | 999.93$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Pacers | 45c | 964.67$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.09 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Wizards | 19c | 938.21$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.06 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Wizards | 16c | 909.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…e009backed Pacers | 73c | 867.12$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.12 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Wizards | 18c | 862.75$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.73 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…700cbacked Pacers | 38c | 849.99$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Pacers | 32c | 843.46$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Pacers | 77c | 841.97$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.23 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9162…84edbacked Wizards | 70c | 803.66$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.42 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Wizards | 2c | 750$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Wizards | 56c | 713.54$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.98 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Wizards | 72c | 694.52$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.7 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Wizards | 48c | 688.52$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.91 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Wizards | 62c | 666.83$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Pacers | 47c | 659.27$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.11 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Pacers | 36c | 653.46$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.27 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Wizards | 2c | 627.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa698…7f1ebacked Pacers | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Wizards | 21c | 604.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.27 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Pacers | 80c | 588.54$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.71 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…a03bbacked Wizards | 66c | 541.43$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.48 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Pacers | 79c | 519.97$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.19 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Pacers | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x052f…53fbbacked Pacers | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Wizards | 18c | 499.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Wizards | 20c | 499.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Wizards | 21c | 499.95$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards | 15c | 492.59$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333f…4da2backed Wizards | 21c | 476.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…646dbacked Wizards | 13c | 452.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…15d7backed Wizards | 30c | 452.93$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.88 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Wizards | 44c | 443.02$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.93 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…6063backed Pacers | 46c | 433.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…4b3abacked Wizards | 21c | 428.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Wizards | 31c | 402.57$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Pacers | 55c | 399.99$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.11 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Wizards | 20c | 399.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf777…34a5backed Wizards | 25c | 395.82$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eec…e852backed Pacers | 80c | 394.3$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.87 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Wizards | 21c | 365$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…3efebacked Wizards | 28c | 350$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Wizards | 52c | 349.13$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.93 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Pacers | 75c | 343.15$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Wizards | 62c | 322.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed Wizards | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853a…f509backed Wizards | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…f2bdbacked Pacers | 79c | 299.98$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pacers | 78c | 299.55$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.38 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Wizards | 26c | 296.71$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.