NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5e495a61be37081c1da47936a0b25725f1530679cb41138a5ee6277fe1cd1ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Bucks, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $440,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $457,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $440,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 578 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Bucks | 80c | 28,150$22,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,422.01 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Hawks | 36c | 23,206$8,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,866.23 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Hawks | 79c | 13,514$10,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.69 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Bucks | 49c | 12,615$6,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,126.01 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks | 50c | 12,296$6,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,086.82 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hawks | 33c | 10,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,749.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Hawks | 65c | 8,453$5,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,965.94 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks | 33c | 7,000$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,713.99 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Hawks | 37c | 6,802$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,296.78 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…c322backed Bucks | 30c | 6,348$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Bucks | 33c | 6,240$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.18 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Bucks | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Bucks | 65c | 4,963$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Bucks | 64c | 4,017$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584.2 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked Bucks | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Hawks | 61c | 3,914$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.62 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Bucks | 55c | 3,641$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.56 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Hawks | 31c | 3,550$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.44 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Bucks | 69c | 3,500$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Bucks | 56c | 3,055$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.8 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Hawks | 39c | 2,983$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.61 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bucks | 66c | 2,951$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.94 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Hawks | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.14 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bucks | 77c | 2,819$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.88 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Hawks | 57c | 2,672$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.14 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Hawks | 43c | 2,585$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.59 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hawks | 38c | 2,349$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.35 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Bucks | 60c | 2,318$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed Bucks | 56c | 2,195$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.92 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Bucks | 65c | 2,192$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.74 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fc…57e9backed Bucks | 42c | 2,096$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Hawks | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…1290backed Hawks | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe20…4d3ebacked Hawks | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.94 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Bucks | 2c | 1,850$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Bucks | 1c | 1,840$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Hawks | 42c | 1,717$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.37 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Hawks | 35c | 1,713$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.51 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Hawks | 65c | 1,523$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.08 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Bucks | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Bucks | 65c | 1,479$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.1 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Bucks | 69c | 1,459$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.72 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Bucks | 33c | 1,451$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.64 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x896f…9cd4backed Bucks | 45c | 1,400$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Bucks | 57c | 1,318$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.53 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83f5…b3fdbacked Bucks | 67c | 1,300$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…ffdbbacked Hawks | 42c | 1,295$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.06 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…b747backed Bucks | 59c | 1,295$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2629…417cbacked Bucks | 65c | 1,200$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…e6a2backed Hawks | 45c | 1,200$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.96 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Bucks | 70c | 1,187$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.88 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Hawks | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Bucks | 66c | 1,163$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.39 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Bucks | 63c | 1,120$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.41 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Hawks | 36c | 1,113$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.4 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Bucks | 57c | 1,084$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.16 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bucks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Bucks | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hawks | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4c…cf2cbacked Hawks | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Hawks | 31c | 999.93$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.95 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Bucks | 44c | 943.18$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bucks | 63c | 920.94$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.44 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Bucks | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Bucks | 24c | 839.48$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.47 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccab…cb62backed Bucks | 40c | 835.1$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.04 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bucks | 65c | 825.98$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.89 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks | 67c | 777.59$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.12 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Bucks | 66c | 755.8$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.83 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Bucks | 57c | 737.54$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.4 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…bbcbbacked Bucks | 65c | 699.96$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.97 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Hawks | 33c | 677$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.3 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Bucks | 44c | 665.16$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.67 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Hawks | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Hawks | 58c | 600$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bucks | 61c | 599.99$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.35 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd334…fcc2backed Hawks | 35c | 584.89$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.18 | 247 | 25.9%64 W · 183 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…f94abacked Bucks | 69c | 580$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb869…c4c6backed Hawks | 36c | 580$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…3cbfbacked Hawks | 64c | 578.83$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.38 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Hawks | 34c | 549.99$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.99 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…5953backed Hawks | 34c | 539.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hawks | 33c | 538.74$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.34 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a1…de7abacked Bucks | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…9b41backed Bucks | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd872…55ccbacked Hawks | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…a057backed Hawks | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…1305backed Hawks | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee2…251bbacked Bucks | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacc…be87backed Bucks | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…611fbacked Hawks | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…2d54backed Hawks | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…f1babacked Bucks | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…59a4backed Hawks | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…4c4bbacked Hawks | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…d2a5backed Hawks | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +63%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…c2bbbacked Bucks | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…eb45backed Hawks | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe487…6754backed Bucks | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3136…1a1dbacked Hawks | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.