TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Kraken

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Krakenof Canadiens, Kraken
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,824
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,636

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,824 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens43c7,398$3,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,156.571,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa144…8181backed Kraken57c6,659$3,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,863.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fdc…a3f0backed Canadiens43c4,333$1,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,863.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2fa5…d6eabacked Kraken58c3,714$2,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Kraken55c3,553$1,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.721,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kraken56c3,529$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.8892848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c45…b01bbacked Kraken57c3,433$1,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…b2d1backed Kraken78c3,119$2,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.626940.6%28 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Canadiens49c3,002$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.5232331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Canadiens1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens39c2,700$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.870249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6682…7094backed Canadiens43c2,325$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Kraken55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9005858.6%34 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-15.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Kraken54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9205843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d02…edbfbacked Canadiens42c1,950$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8191258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e0e…84b6backed Kraken59c1,686$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Kraken57c1,593$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.7822842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Canadiens43c1,505$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.1586649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9dd…a1d9backed Kraken58c1,501$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.421361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kraken58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6301,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Canadiens42c1,498$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.161136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb694…4e00backed Canadiens43c1,264$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5085…2acdbacked Canadiens43c1,223$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x208e…d2dcbacked Canadiens43c1,210$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…7140backed Canadiens45c1,165$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7a9…6c70backed Canadiens45c1,150$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35aa…94bcbacked Kraken52c1,127$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.172147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x337f…3443backed Canadiens45c1,117$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Kraken57c1,030$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.4672444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3368…f2eabacked Kraken57c1,014$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kraken58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Kraken24c1,000$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.3714844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7322…bb35backed Canadiens43c871.2$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.62520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-67.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Kraken57c840.74$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.0149351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Kraken33c787.88$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.885334%18 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Kraken57c764.15$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.5864242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Kraken58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.6621750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Kraken56c589$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.2637738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens24c582.94$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.923,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x330a…438cbacked Kraken61c567.7$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64d9…780cbacked Canadiens42c565.76$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6165…63f5backed Canadiens45c556.66$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f2…8efdbacked Canadiens44c554.55$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf56…ccfbbacked Canadiens44c543.52$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1990…e954backed Kraken76c512.82$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.552445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d80…219abacked Kraken55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc3…b723backed Canadiens44c485$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.151154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Canadiens39c471.7$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.9611533%38 W · 77 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5ae…9463backed Kraken57c464$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.21172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+61.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa731…dd3dbacked Canadiens43c446$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Canadiens50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce86…cbcbbacked Kraken57c395$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.151361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe32…5e5dbacked Kraken56c392$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.541241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Kraken54c376.69$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.6423761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Canadiens43c364.82$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5727958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x070e…ab83backed Canadiens43c353$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.92933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02f9…ec50backed Kraken56c308$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.521080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x433f…b4e5backed Canadiens44c308$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.52875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Kraken33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20137254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa33a…454abacked Canadiens44c295$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.81471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdacc…8476backed Kraken56c295$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.81050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5d…37cdbacked Canadiens44c294$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.361145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94c7…ae99backed Kraken56c294$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.361266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15a7…336dbacked Kraken58c290$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b7e…31d7backed Canadiens42c290$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x207a…6fecbacked Canadiens78c281.47$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e58…5b3ebacked Canadiens44c278$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.321040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x768b…4ac3backed Kraken56c278$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.321050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be5…3651backed Canadiens44c272$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.68862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+37.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa769…f52dbacked Kraken56c272$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.681154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44bd…6e0cbacked Canadiens43c256$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.081241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b85…f51cbacked Kraken56c234$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.96977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+58.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc6e1…3348backed Canadiens44c234$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.961330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x278b…aa19backed Canadiens43c232$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.76944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb968…921dbacked Kraken14c222$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.92333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+146%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe862…7d6bbacked Kraken59c220.34$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.349955.6%55 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d0…2498backed Kraken56c214$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.16933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-44%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x159a…e9c2backed Canadiens44c214$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.161450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0995…fa39backed Kraken56c214$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.161040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Kraken58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3530549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Canadiens45c195.31$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.891,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd36…1a9dbacked Kraken56c183$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.521250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8862…548abacked Canadiens44c175$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b85…3d86backed Kraken56c175$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+60.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kraken59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6800…5cf5backed Kraken58c161$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.621580%12 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+54.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x28b6…4eddbacked Canadiens44c159.07$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.996936.2%25 W · 44 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa39…822ebacked Kraken13c153.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.851020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid+26.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ff…c60dbacked Canadiens43c153.84$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.151844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15ed…0f86backed Canadiens43c151$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.98812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick45cpaid-70.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeeb2…6507backed Canadiens42c140.1$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.841546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…c024backed Canadiens43c140$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-55.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb4c…8efcbacked Canadiens44c136$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.84616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-72.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb97b…929dbacked Kraken56c136$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.84757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81c…c43abacked Kraken56c132$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.081346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Kraken57c130$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.951044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaccd…0597backed Kraken58c122.16$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.751353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c34…aca8backed Canadiens44c121.52$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.47425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-59%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x981a…112bbacked Canadiens44c120.23$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Canadiens40c120$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4828440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.