NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f924f2dd8baa5841c52bcb852a614dc632561490963edd677962cb32f0798d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Bucks, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,155,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,244,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,155,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 993 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1c9…96d9backed Warriors | 45c | 110,346$49,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,714.54 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…92f8backed Warriors | 48c | 93,575$44,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,699.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Bucks | 41c | 45,054$18,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,248.96 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Warriors | 69c | 32,784$22,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,276.15 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Bucks | 56c | 32,704$18,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,194.14 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd200…06b1backed Bucks | 34c | 28,971$9,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,722.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Bucks | 31c | 28,580$8,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,960.5 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks | 32c | 27,058$8,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,634.89 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Bucks | 56c | 26,940$15,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,087.42 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Bucks | 52c | 25,126$12,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,949.53 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Bucks | 19c | 23,755$4,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,446.14 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Bucks | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Bucks | 32c | 20,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 57c | 18,510$10,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,933.16 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Bucks | 55c | 17,899$9,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,844.46 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bucks | 57c | 16,833$9,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,641.93 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Bucks | 58c | 16,274$9,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,457.38 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bucks | 52c | 16,071$8,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,380.78 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Warriors | 42c | 11,555$4,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,701.66 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Bucks | 56c | 10,548$5,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,930.35 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Bucks | 51c | 10,110$5,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,157.37 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Warriors | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Bucks | 57c | 9,360$5,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,292.99 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Bucks | 59c | 9,074$5,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,353.39 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…5be0backed Bucks | 40c | 8,058$3,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,242.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Warriors | 47c | 7,824$3,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,146.62 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Warriors | 45c | 7,516$3,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,145.32 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Warriors | 58c | 7,192$4,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,988.51 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Bucks | 35c | 7,190$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,526.4 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Bucks | 43c | 7,064$3,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,045.58 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Bucks | 58c | 6,949$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Bucks | 55c | 6,868$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800.11 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Bucks | 52c | 6,566$3,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,415.18 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Bucks | 57c | 6,416$3,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,657.08 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 43c | 6,050$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,478.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Bucks | 1c | 5,570$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bucks | 56c | 5,078$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,821.72 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Warriors | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Bucks | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Warriors | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Bucks | 58c | 5,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Bucks | 55c | 4,938$2,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.28 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Warriors | 43c | 4,897$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,791.29 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…7724backed Warriors | 44c | 4,882$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Warriors | 44c | 4,766$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.13 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Bucks | 54c | 4,600$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -46%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Warriors | 42c | 4,418$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.55 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Bucks | 54c | 4,400$2,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.66 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Bucks | 57c | 4,172$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.92 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Warriors | 51c | 4,071$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.27 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Warriors | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Bucks | 58c | 3,871$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.1 | 278 | 48.9%136 W · 142 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Bucks | 33c | 3,839$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.08 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Bucks | 59c | 3,419$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.45 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Warriors | 47c | 3,264$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.01 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Warriors | 45c | 3,223$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.59 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Bucks | 53c | 3,097$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.62 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Bucks | 52c | 2,879$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.08 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Warriors | 79c | 2,850$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.49 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Bucks | 55c | 2,750$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.5 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Bucks | 55c | 2,700$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed Bucks | 58c | 2,603$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.65 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Warriors | 43c | 2,542$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.2 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…b1d6backed Warriors | 79c | 2,508$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.65 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Bucks | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bucks | 57c | 2,438$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.16 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe628…1595backed Bucks | 37c | 2,434$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.29 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bucks | 53c | 2,210$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.24 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Bucks | 46c | 2,175$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Bucks | 53c | 2,114$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.28 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Warriors | 76c | 2,050$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Bucks | 24c | 2,050$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 46c | 2,038$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.08 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Bucks | 57c | 2,017$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.79 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Warriors | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.2 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Bucks | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Bucks | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Warriors | 44c | 1,850$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.04 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Bucks | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Bucks | 53c | 1,742$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.46 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Bucks | 56c | 1,717$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.28 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bucks | 56c | 1,668$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.54 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Warriors | 43c | 1,620$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.12 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Bucks | 52c | 1,589$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.27 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Warriors | 47c | 1,523$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.92 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Warriors | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Bucks | 42c | 1,455$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.48 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5a61backed Bucks | 56c | 1,416$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Warriors | 48c | 1,400$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…a098backed Bucks | 53c | 1,399$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.64 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Bucks | 44c | 1,371$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…5fe1backed Warriors | 61c | 1,310$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Bucks | 58c | 1,290$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.2 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Bucks | 2c | 1,233$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed3…7008backed Bucks | 57c | 1,224$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bucks | 3c | 1,200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bucks | 35c | 1,196$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.07 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Warriors | 50c | 1,194$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.11 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Bucks | 49c | 1,171$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.72 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Bucks | 56c | 1,145$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.