NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x630144bbbc9272583cac1e6fb1c3dd9bca5005165470d6231f59c683e2858734
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $379,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $407,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $379,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 495 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Heat | 55c | 35,767$19,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,990.83 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Spurs | 56c | 35,000$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,600 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f4…bc4fbacked Spurs | 60c | 31,238$18,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,763.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Heat | 44c | 18,564$8,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,395.9 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Heat | 57c | 16,143$9,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,985.57 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Spurs | 34c | 11,411$3,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,885.82 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 49c | 10,664$5,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,487.06 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Heat | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Heat | 50c | 7,226$3,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,628.11 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…69debacked Heat | 51c | 7,082$3,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,497.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Heat | 57c | 4,674$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.56 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Heat | 53c | 4,666$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.38 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Heat | 44c | 4,364$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.69 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Heat | 57c | 4,206$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.79 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d4…6f09backed Heat | 37c | 4,052$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.61 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…825ebacked Spurs | 54c | 3,584$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Spurs | 27c | 3,376$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.78 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Spurs | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Spurs | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…2afabacked Heat | 44c | 2,900$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Spurs | 48c | 2,730$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.28 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7656backed Spurs | 56c | 2,616$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Spurs | 43c | 2,377$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.96 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Heat | 47c | 2,280$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.45 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 45c | 2,232$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.69 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Heat | 65c | 2,204$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.34 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Heat | 58c | 2,185$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.7 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Heat | 53c | 1,897$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.49 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Heat | 58c | 1,895$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.67 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Spurs | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Spurs | 44c | 1,778$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.18 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Heat | 43c | 1,770$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.57 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Heat | 56c | 1,720$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.36 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Heat | 58c | 1,707$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.9 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…52d7backed Spurs | 43c | 1,704$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.41 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs | 20c | 1,565$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.69 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Heat | 61c | 1,500$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Spurs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Heat | 51c | 1,491$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.64 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Spurs | 64c | 1,454$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.18 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Spurs | 1c | 1,400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Heat | 54c | 1,392$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.9 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Spurs | 39c | 1,386$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.11 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Heat | 44c | 1,332$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.92 | 178 | 46.1%82 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Spurs | 50c | 1,231$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.67 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Spurs | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Spurs | 43c | 1,118$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.55 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Spurs | 43c | 1,055$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.9 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Heat | 47c | 1,044$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.86 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2b…dbf4backed Spurs | 58c | 1,031$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Spurs | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.2 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Spurs | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Heat | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Spurs | 43c | 878.66$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.88 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Heat | 78c | 863.25$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.91 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Heat | 67c | 857.17$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.25 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs | 31c | 810$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.82 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Heat | 69c | 749$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.21 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Spurs | 57c | 666$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.83 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5437…517bbacked Spurs | 58c | 637.94$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Spurs | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Heat | 47c | 605$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.65 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae0…cf6abacked Spurs | 56c | 598.85$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Spurs | 34c | 581.6$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Heat | 58c | 566.29$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.84 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Spurs | 36c | 563.13$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.73 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…a122backed Heat | 50c | 550$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Spurs | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Heat | 52c | 538.99$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.52 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…7b7fbacked Spurs | 50c | 505.93$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.3 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Heat | 51c | 505$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.56 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…ac3ebacked Spurs | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…a2c1backed Spurs | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…d6eabacked Heat | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…39a8backed Spurs | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…bbd0backed Heat | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b42…5090backed Heat | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…87c7backed Spurs | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…40fabacked Heat | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0c…95dabacked Heat | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…41f3backed Spurs | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1a…13babacked Spurs | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25d…6ca5backed Spurs | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…6b7bbacked Spurs | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa309…66a4backed Spurs | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22dd…5d99backed Spurs | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c9…629cbacked Spurs | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…560cbacked Heat | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…e576backed Spurs | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf8…db7fbacked Heat | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…ab59backed Spurs | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf34e…eb5cbacked Spurs | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…a680backed Heat | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a37…ebb3backed Spurs | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068e…f8b6backed Heat | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800d…e0b1backed Spurs | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ce…d6b4backed Heat | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f9…a490backed Heat | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ea…63d9backed Heat | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8464…0982backed Spurs | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.