MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e491de39ccfcef2b91f39d9d0fe4f13a0c4d3b47e572a0efbfba3558b2a3ba8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Dodgers | 1c | 3,690$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Athletics | 32c | 2,158$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.76 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Athletics | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers | 44c | 1,888$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.98 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa593…4ac5backed Athletics | 33c | 1,650$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dodgers | 68c | 1,456$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.89 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Athletics | 39c | 1,203$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.06 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a9…356abacked Dodgers | 20c | 1,180$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.66 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Dodgers | 12c | 1,059$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 68c | 985.1$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.14 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Athletics | 32c | 892.97$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.22 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91b…d0acbacked Dodgers | 67c | 860$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…52cbbacked Dodgers | 67c | 790$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.3 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Dodgers | 20c | 690$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Dodgers | 16c | 674.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Athletics | 35c | 640$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Dodgers | 65c | 640$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 32c | 630.9$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.4 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…f8a6backed Dodgers | 52c | 610.87$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.23 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 80c | 547.5$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Dodgers | 54c | 400$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Dodgers | 66c | 391.81$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Athletics | 33c | 390.77$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.71 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Athletics | 76c | 265.37$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Athletics | 69c | 247.5$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Dodgers | 65c | 240$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 49c | 156.49$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ef…9686backed Dodgers | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 31c | 152.48$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.21 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Athletics | 34c | 147.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.67 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…25b7backed Athletics | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1532backed Athletics | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Athletics | 60c | 101.81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Dodgers | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Dodgers | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Dodgers | 64c | 99.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Dodgers | 61c | 90.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b8…2d83backed Athletics | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Dodgers | 67c | 80.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Dodgers | 66c | 77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…2853backed Dodgers | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Athletics | 67c | 66.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Athletics | 65c | 53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Dodgers | 69c | 50.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Dodgers | 51c | 49.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Athletics | 33c | 46.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x369a…c545backed Athletics | 36c | 44.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…9f82backed Dodgers | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b10…c396backed Athletics | 70c | 40.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd982…214cbacked Athletics | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd2…7f1dbacked Dodgers | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Athletics | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc8…1596backed Dodgers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Dodgers | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41f…60b2backed Athletics | 36c | 30.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Dodgers | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…cecfbacked Dodgers | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…6040backed Dodgers | 68c | 26.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Dodgers | 67c | 25.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Dodgers | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.