MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbae1d8f0e50399e6985c51bc1fdd08aa6209a0c2ecdfa12cd82caeb6d8129741
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Tigers, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x59fc…ca0fbacked Tigers | 54c | 34,439$18,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,597.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…651ebacked Blue Jays | 46c | 32,929$15,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,781.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659d…c7cfbacked Tigers | 54c | 30,291$16,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,356.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7910…0224backed Blue Jays | 46c | 29,850$13,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,119 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Blue Jays | 45c | 14,365$6,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,913.3 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers | 55c | 9,715$5,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,344.38 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 8,214$3,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,270.27 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 31c | 7,198$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,962.4 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Tigers | 61c | 6,549$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Tigers | 73c | 4,124$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Tigers | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Tigers | 56c | 2,994$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.17 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Blue Jays | 38c | 2,727$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.95 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 39c | 2,529$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Tigers | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…9ad1backed Blue Jays | 46c | 1,950$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.64 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Tigers | 53c | 1,314$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.27 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cf…6d85backed Blue Jays | 46c | 1,190$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…b326backed Tigers | 54c | 1,190$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.96 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Tigers | 52c | 1,016$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.42 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Tigers | 60c | 1,005$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…5644backed Blue Jays | 28c | 845.27$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tigers | 56c | 756.69$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.74 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…10c5backed Tigers | 73c | 751.36$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Tigers | 65c | 700$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Blue Jays | 35c | 700$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers | 57c | 699.99$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers | 53c | 599.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Blue Jays | 45c | 591.06$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.54 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Blue Jays | 34c | 535.29$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.29 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Tigers | 63c | 528.57$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Tigers | 69c | 512.77$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.94 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Tigers | 67c | 476.75$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.95 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays | 29c | 444.31$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.31 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…3324backed Tigers | 67c | 400$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Blue Jays | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a37…2c5fbacked Tigers | 67c | 391.99$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4415…89cfbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 382.57$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Tigers | 52c | 370.38$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.02 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a5…2af8backed Blue Jays | 47c | 366.62$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec77…1660backed Blue Jays | 46c | 365.46$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Tigers | 65c | 363.5$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Blue Jays | 34c | 350.04$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.86 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Tigers | 56c | 349.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a3…f1ecbacked Tigers | 54c | 310.35$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x111f…bce5backed Tigers | 55c | 309.91$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Tigers | 70c | 292.39$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.6 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Tigers | 51c | 291.94$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.89 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b1…0fb8backed Tigers | 54c | 285.17$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…748dbacked Tigers | 55c | 277.84$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Tigers | 55c | 219.3$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.62 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Blue Jays | 35c | 200.61$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.61 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Tigers | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a9…356abacked Tigers | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Tigers | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…7568backed Tigers | 54c | 195.09$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Tigers | 64c | 191.56$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.77 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Tigers | 54c | 190.52$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.88 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 185.69$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.7 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Tigers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…e66cbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 174.52$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdc…2721backed Tigers | 65c | 168.56$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Tigers | 62c | 168.4$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.41 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…1eebbacked Tigers | 55c | 158.82$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc2…7ddebacked Blue Jays | 47c | 143.29$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Blue Jays | 37c | 120.06$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2a…1e46backed Tigers | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…4eb3backed Blue Jays | 45c | 101.37$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Tigers | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…36a2backed Tigers | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…cf9abacked Tigers | 57c | 98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…02cdbacked Blue Jays | 43c | 98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a8…fb9dbacked Tigers | 52c | 96.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Tigers | 55c | 84.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Blue Jays | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Tigers | 40c | 75.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Tigers | 72c | 75.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…7c26backed Tigers | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58d6…825abacked Tigers | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Tigers | 62c | 68.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked Tigers | 37c | 64.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…5f6fbacked Tigers | 46c | 64.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa346…738fbacked Tigers | 64c | 62.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…e0a1backed Tigers | 74c | 58.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd930…c3f2backed Blue Jays | 43c | 53.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Blue Jays | 46c | 51.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Blue Jays | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Blue Jays | 33c | 47.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Tigers | 65c | 45.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Tigers | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…f8e7backed Tigers | 56c | 45.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Blue Jays | 27c | 44.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.