TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Pirates vs. Mets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Metsof Pirates, Mets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$141,080
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,295

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,080 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5108…bb94backed Mets69c68,731$47,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,306.61633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-45%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec0c…077cbacked Pirates31c68,609$21,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,268.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Pirates31c28,788$8,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,910.6614747.6%70 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mets69c11,624$8,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,603.521,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5257…5d35backed Mets70c9,994$6,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,998.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+62.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6777…cae3backed Pirates30c9,994$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets69c9,917$6,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,074.441,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates29c4,396$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.851,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…8687backed Mets71c4,073$2,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.268457.1%48 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Mets48c2,922$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.4111553%61 W · 54 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7367…fed2backed Pirates30c1,950$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5851060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1281…8cfabacked Pirates30c1,900$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a3c…7c1ebacked Pirates30c1,797$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.51428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Mets70c1,486$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.7199951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates28c1,147$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.932,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x691d…2086backed Mets70c1,093$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.9742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98fe…9545backed Mets70c1,016$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-48.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Mets69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31041643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1565…e6b0backed Mets71c957.75$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.75728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b46…6576backed Mets70c884$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78f4…ac3dbacked Mets70c857$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ccf…61a1backed Mets71c847.25$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.71258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Mets66c754$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.521,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Mets70c740$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22292754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Mets76c711.03$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.3286751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Pirates30c699.98$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.993234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates31c681.78$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.312,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pirates30c583$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.461,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Pirates7c522.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.562488.9%22 W · 226 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Pirates30c503.73$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2785047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Mets69c399.97$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.9951151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Mets71c350$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.52,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Mets69c348.72$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.180955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58db…ea03backed Pirates28c312.36$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8612347.2%58 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pirates23c307.88$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.863942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.862,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.712,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mets68c268.13$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.579,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Mets69c201.63$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6320645.1%93 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pirates31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6293240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6418…f8a6backed Mets70c198.16$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.453056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Mets70c180.97$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2943250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Pirates29c160.37$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.515,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a39…e798backed Pirates31c122$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.82757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Pirates31c108$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Mets70c101.2$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3616055.6%89 W · 71 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5ed…ca1abacked Mets70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Mets70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3046753.7%251 W · 216 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…cddbbacked Mets69c84.64$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2632…d011backed Pirates32c84.38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Pirates33c78.82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8197950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26e9…4a51backed Mets70c75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.510940.4%44 W · 65 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Mets69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4694455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1bb…d19dbacked Pirates32c71.88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-63.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99f1…1ebdbacked Mets70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4312654%68 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…2853backed Mets71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc875…70f0backed Pirates32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc190…b3aebacked Mets69c62.32$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.323647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x357a…58dcbacked Mets71c49.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+83.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Mets70c49$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.72,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…59f5backed Pirates32c47.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.291855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa16d…2fdbbacked Pirates32c46.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.621050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf292…bb14backed Mets69c43.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.281361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5e9…9f82backed Mets69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.48771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b4f…cc00backed Pirates30c40.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc38d…7637backed Pirates32c40.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Mets68c40.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8415757.3%90 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x369a…c545backed Pirates31c38.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29da…8ba5backed Pirates32c37.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.04862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Pirates32c37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.841,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe89d…b80ebacked Mets69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Mets70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7125954.1%140 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf9…e408backed Pirates32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Mets70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Mets69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9915362.7%96 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e2c…53ecbacked Mets69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e1…c293backed Mets70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.576869.1%47 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Mets70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.577652.6%40 W · 36 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Mets71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1755152.5%289 W · 262 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0229…c95cbacked Mets71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5c2…fed9backed Mets71c25.35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Mets71c23.94$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9474356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd49…abb7backed Mets69c23.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.34955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffb2…620cbacked Mets71c22.72$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.59742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Mets69c22.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9214539.3%57 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf909…3daabacked Mets71c22.25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccef…c302backed Mets69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.744100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8240…7ae0backed Mets69c21.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.71977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf980…6697backed Mets70c21.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.43771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4019…3838backed Mets70c21.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.371650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd06c…22ffbacked Mets69c20.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.461752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fdf…d2dfbacked Mets70c20.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.22887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick60cpaid+44.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x30a1…a7c6backed Mets69c20.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.311656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa14…8905backed Mets71c20.24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.87683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+46%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe08f…1173backed Mets69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf759…e295backed Mets70c19.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.971764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa211…ce78backed Mets69c19.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.151250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ecd…8ee4backed Mets70c19.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.881533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6978…b028backed Mets69c17.87$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.541872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x265d…5329backed Mets74c17.56$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.567659.2%45 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.