TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xccef…c302

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst Serie A at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT4052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$28.06
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15.86
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.48
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.74
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+94.4%+$17.14
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$89.15
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+38.9%+$6.06
Hawks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.69
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$15.06
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.27
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.15
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.03
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$11.14
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.99
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.63
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.56
Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$20.64
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$11.45
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.74
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+185.7%+$27.3
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+177.8%+$30.22
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST3455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$10.13
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.16
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$15.89
Senators vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+100%+$13
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.4
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$11.07
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+100%+$10.96
Maple Leafs vs. Oilersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$30.18
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$17.77
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
Canucks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.83
Red Wings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.67
Sharks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+100%+$12
Blues vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.69
Canadiens vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.43
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$10.22
Senators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Panthers vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16.78
Penguins vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+127.3%+$26.73
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+48%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+122.2%+$22
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.51
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$10.92
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$12.85
Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.97
West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+156.4%+$20.02
Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.12
Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.66
Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+194.1%+$21.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+132.6%+$23.13
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+72.4%+$11.05
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.24
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 14, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$99.97
Pirates vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Brewers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
All 4 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.74
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$7.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.