MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f4eec6d1eebdb70f81ae6bd476427657f56aa91c11a025e5fe144890481950f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Nationals, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Nationals | 38c | 103,068$38,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,826.51 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves | 64c | 34,512$22,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,324.22 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 61c | 24,056$14,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,421.37 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 55c | 12,530$6,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,689.92 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc264…2560backed Braves | 67c | 9,997$6,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,298.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b2…0edebacked Nationals | 33c | 9,994$3,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,298.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Braves | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Braves | 65c | 3,331$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.71 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Braves | 67c | 3,132$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.53 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Braves | 64c | 3,112$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.63 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Braves | 63c | 3,070$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.97 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 65c | 3,043$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.88 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Braves | 54c | 2,895$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.47 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Braves | 62c | 2,791$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.59 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Braves | 68c | 1,557$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.07 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…a7d5backed Braves | 67c | 1,524$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d5…3926backed Nationals | 33c | 1,522$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…8404backed Braves | 66c | 1,521$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.14 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014a…8aefbacked Nationals | 34c | 1,521$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed Braves | 68c | 1,520$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.4 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…164ebacked Nationals | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Nationals | 36c | 1,401$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 60c | 1,388$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.59 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Braves | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +206.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nationals | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Braves | 64c | 900$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Nationals | 61c | 814.41$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Nationals | 64c | 785.47$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Braves | 66c | 708.8$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.99 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Nationals | 32c | 699.97$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.99 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Braves | 51c | 681.01$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.49 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Braves | 66c | 680$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.2 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Braves | 66c | 597.64$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.09 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nationals | 33c | 463.77$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.95 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Braves | 65c | 353$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.54 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Braves | 64c | 330$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.45 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Braves | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Braves | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Braves | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 34c | 199.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nationals | 34c | 173.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Braves | 67c | 149.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Braves | 68c | 147.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Nationals | 34c | 117.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nationals | 11c | 114$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Braves | 55c | 102.19$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Braves | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Braves | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf3…c359backed Braves | 66c | 99.97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Nationals | 34c | 94.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Braves | 67c | 79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…7771backed Braves | 66c | 77.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489e…74b3backed Nationals | 35c | 77.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…07efbacked Nationals | 33c | 77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Braves | 62c | 72.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fd…e076backed Nationals | 35c | 72.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…7d49backed Braves | 67c | 70.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d37…a5f0backed Nationals | 35c | 70.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae8…60f6backed Braves | 68c | 60.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357a…58dcbacked Braves | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Braves | 68c | 47.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Nationals | 34c | 44.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Nationals | 45c | 44.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…9f82backed Braves | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Braves | 68c | 36.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…1a90backed Braves | 67c | 33.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Braves | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Braves | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Braves | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Braves | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…c293backed Braves | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3c…9ed9backed Nationals | 40c | 27.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6697backed Braves | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccef…c302backed Braves | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Braves | 66c | 20.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Braves | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20e…5998backed Nationals | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Braves | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…6040backed Braves | 68c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…76b6backed Braves | 68c | 16.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.