MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x246b7ae9afcc6ba7b9bd9a27a94460cb0d52f2ec6e58b3e3f0b36acbf341f28c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Brewers, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb43b…62b4backed Brewers | 46c | 23,150$10,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,649 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a8…974cbacked Guardians | 54c | 22,700$12,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,442 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Brewers | 46c | 20,942$9,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,633.54 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Guardians | 54c | 15,751$8,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,245.55 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ba…e054backed Guardians | 54c | 9,996$5,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,598.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9465…cfeebacked Brewers | 46c | 9,995$4,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,597.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c3…4107backed Brewers | 46c | 7,585$3,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Brewers | 46c | 4,535$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.32 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…323cbacked Guardians | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Guardians | 54c | 2,984$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.42 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Guardians | 55c | 2,945$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.44 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Guardians | 53c | 2,684$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.1 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…9667backed Brewers | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Guardians | 55c | 2,434$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.32 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Brewers | 45c | 2,400$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 58c | 2,059$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Guardians | 59c | 2,000$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.8 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…388dbacked Guardians | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Guardians | 54c | 1,870$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.2 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Guardians | 77c | 1,794$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.05 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Guardians | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c6…b44dbacked Brewers | 26c | 1,523$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0c32backed Brewers | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…451fbacked Brewers | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 53c | 1,115$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.07 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Brewers | 37c | 1,073$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.91 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d7…068bbacked Brewers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Guardians | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Brewers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Brewers | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Brewers | 13c | 695.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 54c | 675.58$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.77 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8af…f391backed Brewers | 46c | 650$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…da40backed Guardians | 54c | 649.73$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Brewers | 44c | 591.14$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.1 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…7b91backed Brewers | 46c | 550$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 55c | 518.33$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.25 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Guardians | 69c | 480.33$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.33 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Guardians | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…bb94backed Guardians | 54c | 450$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f3…e75bbacked Brewers | 36c | 440$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.85 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Guardians | 54c | 389$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.94 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Brewers | 14c | 347.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brewers | 23c | 334.02$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Guardians | 54c | 322.5$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.35 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Guardians | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Guardians | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Brewers | 47c | 270.45$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.11 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Guardians | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4521…aeb7backed Brewers | 46c | 233.83$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…fedbbacked Guardians | 60c | 225.74$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.78 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…439bbacked Brewers | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef5…6014backed Brewers | 44c | 205.79$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…a0b3backed Guardians | 77c | 204$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Brewers | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Guardians | 54c | 199.96$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.98 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Guardians | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Guardians | 60c | 172.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.51 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Guardians | 54c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4c…3006backed Guardians | 54c | 117$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Guardians | 75c | 116.25$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Guardians | 57c | 111.81$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fee…e722backed Brewers | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +140.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…f78dbacked Brewers | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Guardians | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…4605backed Brewers | 47c | 91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Guardians | 55c | 89.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x593f…6e25backed Brewers | 47c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Guardians | 54c | 81.22$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4b…9673backed Brewers | 47c | 69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…8b28backed Brewers | 46c | 68.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Brewers | 35c | 66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…5a9dbacked Guardians | 55c | 58.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb4…6e61backed Brewers | 46c | 58.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Guardians | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa714…1025backed Guardians | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdc…d65cbacked Guardians | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Guardians | 57c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…b4febacked Brewers | 47c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…f807backed Brewers | 48c | 46.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…5857backed Guardians | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Guardians | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe01a…d527backed Guardians | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af3…75ebbacked Guardians | 55c | 46.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Brewers | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ec…7c97backed Brewers | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0d…5cdcbacked Guardians | 70c | 44.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Guardians | 69c | 43.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Guardians | 54c | 41.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8240…7ae0backed Guardians | 73c | 41.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b1…a7babacked Guardians | 54c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe066…794abacked Guardians | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ed…37babacked Guardians | 54c | 38.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Guardians | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Guardians | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Brewers | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec9d…a6edbacked Guardians | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951a…fd33backed Brewers | 45c | 35.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.