MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1726e69a7b65c78aa3746c1e3093cbbe6df66750010fd7d96dd23d14b3ef5780
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Mariners, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $804,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $844,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $804,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 306 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe785…e106backed Orioles | 47c | 351,915$165,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186,329.38 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mariners | 53c | 90,422$48,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,089.34 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Orioles | 47c | 63,962$29,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,039.36 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Mariners | 35c | 53,629$19,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,999.7 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Mariners | 54c | 48,056$25,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,950.16 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Mariners | 53c | 46,005$24,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,387.05 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Mariners | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,200 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 52c | 38,281$19,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,906.2 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Mariners | 53c | 33,009$17,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,414.68 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Mariners | 55c | 27,272$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mariners | 53c | 26,000$13,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,679.98 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 70c | 21,550$15,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,455.41 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Orioles | 72c | 20,596$14,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,793.15 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Mariners | 53c | 19,874$10,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,533.22 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Orioles | 47c | 17,306$8,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,140.24 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mariners | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,250 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Mariners | 53c | 14,957$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Orioles | 46c | 13,383$6,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,260.47 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mariners | 7c | 11,565$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.91 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Orioles | 45c | 11,458$5,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,273.24 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mariners | 52c | 10,900$5,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,668 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…1dd8backed Orioles | 46c | 10,343$4,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,585.22 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Orioles | 47c | 10,100$4,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,353 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…106abacked Mariners | 54c | 9,999$5,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.46 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mariners | 9c | 9,054$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.42 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Mariners | 54c | 8,531$4,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,606.73 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 67c | 6,451$4,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.74 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Mariners | 11c | 6,237$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mariners | 50c | 6,204$3,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132.06 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 54c | 6,162$3,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,297.98 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Orioles | 45c | 5,408$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,974.5 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Mariners | 3c | 5,000$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mariners | 54c | 4,879$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.75 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Mariners | 54c | 4,322$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.61 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Orioles | 48c | 4,166$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.47 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Mariners | 10c | 4,152$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.21 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 14c | 4,139$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a31…5dd9backed Mariners | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Mariners | 53c | 3,998$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.12 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Mariners | 55c | 3,811$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.8 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Mariners | 49c | 3,289$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.89 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mariners | 53c | 3,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a62…ab67backed Orioles | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 57cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Orioles | 50c | 2,343$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.94 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mariners | 6c | 1,981$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Mariners | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Mariners | 53c | 1,800$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mariners | 53c | 1,633$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.68 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mariners | 8c | 1,570$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.42 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Orioles | 80c | 1,525$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.52 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…5e16backed Mariners | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mariners | 8c | 1,293$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.71 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Mariners | 4c | 1,237$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Mariners | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Mariners | 8c | 1,054$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Orioles | 46c | 1,023$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.63 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mariners | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Mariners | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b2…85d5backed Mariners | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…6a8fbacked Orioles | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…aa9ebacked Orioles | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Mariners | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Orioles | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb127…5ccdbacked Mariners | 56c | 990.15$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mariners | 53c | 958.49$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mariners | 32c | 901.87$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.3 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Orioles | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Mariners | 54c | 850.85$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Mariners | 54c | 840$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.6 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Mariners | 3c | 828.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mariners | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners | 24c | 750.93$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.3 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mariners | 11c | 734.52$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…aa0cbacked Mariners | 51c | 690.78$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.3 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Mariners | 19c | 680$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mariners | 56c | 678.57$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mariners | 53c | 655.97$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.39 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…fdb8backed Mariners | 8c | 649.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e5…a94fbacked Orioles | 46c | 640$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Orioles | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mariners | 3c | 620.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Orioles | 49c | 619.61$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…3a6cbacked Mariners | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Mariners | 53c | 580.55$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.69 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Mariners | 54c | 570.36$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed Mariners | 15c | 553.22$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mariners | 26c | 546.46$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.55 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed Mariners | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Mariners | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Mariners | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Orioles | 45c | 473.51$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.43 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Mariners | 53c | 465.23$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.57 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Mariners | 45c | 459.89$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.95 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Orioles | 48c | 446.85$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Mariners | 52c | 441.82$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.77 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Orioles | 46c | 434$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.36 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Mariners | 6c | 432.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Orioles | 46c | 430.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.16 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Mariners | 53c | 424.53$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Mariners | 5c | 423.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.