TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,171
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,461

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,171 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c36,599$19,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,815.114,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Over45c29,957$13,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,600.143557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under55c18,068$9,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,852.2890843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over48c10,000$4,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,158.9313824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Over46c6,594$3,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,560.941457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under60c4,590$2,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7546243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b6…bca1backed Over46c4,287$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,314.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over45c4,038$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,220.989748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c3,034$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.1369142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under56c2,890$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.1164046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under54c2,781$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.342,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under56c2,328$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.6820449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7432…9207backed Over46c2,270$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under34c2,016$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.141,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under54c1,868$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.6913645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over45c1,695$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.247349.3%36 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84038729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over69c1,441$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.962277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+22.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x261a…d184backed Over46c1,174$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.964445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5405244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over44c999$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.4423255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under56c949.99$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.994334.9%15 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c910.94$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4223,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Under55c868$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.46944.9%31 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over43c690.58$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.635145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Over45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.674946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.678042.5%34 W · 46 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Over61c566.72$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.824971.4%35 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over45c559.24$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.7513728.5%39 W · 98 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Over39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.823036.7%11 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.471855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…04b5backed Over55c500$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.84785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+64.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over68c492.88$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8812875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over68c450$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14413070.8%92 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over57c422.66$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.6622357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under11c387.8$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1183939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over51c382.27$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.971,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c374.45$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.521,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Under55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Under56c351$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.565151%26 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc444…2851backed Over42c339.9$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over45c299.96$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.984447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over52c290.38$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3837829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over60c281$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6313249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over46c249$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.461546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over56c242.86$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8622553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over35c235.61$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.6134050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0825…5e07backed Under56c233.58$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2211929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under54c222.21$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12032145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6746…70e1backed Over46c215.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over49c203.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2418656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11229053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10816342.3%69 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10820945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over46c197.83$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.831266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+42.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc58b…cba8backed Over47c190.35$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.35633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over30c185.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.7124048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under55c181.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9742851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over43c174.42$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4219237.5%72 W · 120 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over59c162.93$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9316865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under55c162.09$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5920452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over59c152.9$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6915344.4%68 W · 85 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over43c150$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.526550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d20…1f58backed Over52c141.25$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.15771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4312755.1%70 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over52c126.92$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.923154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Over45c126.77$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63ac…d211backed Over46c126.09$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+59%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Under55c121.05$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.583850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under34c121.02$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3728446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over42c115.85$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.854146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over45c111.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3349228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over43c109.65$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.514850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed Over46c106.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.452951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over51c105.23$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4257252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over43c104.65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.657255.6%40 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under42c100.45$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2627850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5610233.3%34 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6710335%36 W · 67 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+67.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e3c…37e4backed Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+58.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under54c99.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3527653.6%148 W · 128 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12dc…f3dfbacked Under37c98.11$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over46c97.83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.836861.8%42 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over45c97.78$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.785967.8%40 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Over42c97.28$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.427644.7%34 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9689…be06backed Over43c96.54$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+131.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fb…6d42backed Over43c95.35$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.353138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2411741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Over47c90$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.973461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under50c88.56$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.974938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Under58c87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.466237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under55c71.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.771,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Under59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406136.1%22 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.