La Liga · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bbe72c6467f5f90466b08b11aa8d0ea1a4923d2b230a31df142979c7d86bbc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 41c | 14,264$5,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,905.6 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 55c | 3,400$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Over | 69c | 2,174$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.93 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0663…6f2ebacked Over | 69c | 2,174$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 30c | 2,116$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.61 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over | 52c | 1,900$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 65c | 1,200$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 1,127$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.09 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 72c | 997.64$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.34 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 71c | 845.03$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.06 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 52c | 684$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 69c | 546.09$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.21 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 60c | 505.59$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.14 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 501$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.49 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 70c | 473.81$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.14 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Over | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 28c | 428.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Under | 5c | 369.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf9…d6f0backed Under | 46c | 366.87$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 25c | 316.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Over | 70c | 257.64$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.64 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 70c | 228.57$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.57 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 61c | 224.93$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 54c | 202$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Over | 69c | 181.16$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 78c | 179.05$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 223 | 50.2%112 W · 111 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 30c | 167$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 67c | 148.93$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 30c | 133.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Over | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 70c | 107.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 69c | 105$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 66c | 96.62$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked Over | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 31c | 77.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 69c | 72.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 71.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 78c | 70.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…bc51backed Over | 77c | 68.55$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…38e6backed Over | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb4…68c3backed Over | 63c | 53.84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…529ebacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…a05cbacked Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf75a…27c5backed Over | 71c | 49.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd944…07d5backed Under | 31c | 42.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 34 | 88.2%30 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 30c | 41.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5325…c0b5backed Under | 31c | 40.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Under | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffe…ac65backed Under | 32c | 38.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 57c | 35.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 70c | 31.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 25 | 92%23 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.21per pick | 71cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 42 | 83.3%35 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5f…b453backed Over | 69c | 26.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 64cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…5a01backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1557…04afbacked Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Over | 68c | 15.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e65…d9f0backed Over | 71c | 14.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.