La Liga · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x749cff2c63f353f288e441bd0a0d15ec030370fa9cc5eed1bd05e9841f7ec7d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 20,355$14,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,896.42 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.98 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 76c | 4,799$3,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.26 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 77 | 19.5%15 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 75c | 1,849$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.88 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Over | 24c | 1,360$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 40c | 1,129$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.6 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 71c | 649.09$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.81 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 41c | 638.5$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 28c | 538.65$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.91 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 25c | 529.37$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.45 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Over | 35c | 418$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.25 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 32c | 308.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 23c | 262.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 77c | 260$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 41c | 246.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…1bd1backed Over | 32c | 236.31$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.62 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 65c | 212.49$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.37 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 31c | 210.77$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Under | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Over | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 76c | 157.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 80c | 156.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 75c | 154.87$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 36c | 144.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Under | 79c | 127$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…084dbacked Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 123.81$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 68c | 114.88$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 72c | 84.85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58b…cba8backed Over | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 41c | 82.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 28c | 76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 34c | 74.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Over | 24c | 67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 79c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 22c | 50.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99df…b59abacked Over | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…dc32backed Over | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 25c | 43.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 71c | 40.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under | 78c | 35.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Over | 38c | 31.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 78c | 29.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Under | 73c | 29.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x657e…e62fbacked Under | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 67c | 16.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fc…07e3backed Under | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.