La Liga · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26f5def67d50760839b29ce948c714159777c4cb6de579c201d81d004ccea7e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 5,593$2,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.13 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 51c | 3,575$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.67 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 2,619$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.06 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Yes | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed No | 48c | 1,273$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.04 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.98 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 52c | 532$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.54 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 51c | 485.49$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.89 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 51c | 468.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.99 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d40…e36cbacked Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 48c | 320.87$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.02 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 52c | 289.04$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.04 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 48c | 242$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.16 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 51c | 210$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 51c | 198.13$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.08 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 45c | 163.1$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.71 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 48c | 149.96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.98 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…70e1backed No | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Yes | 50c | 132$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…e97cbacked Yes | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…cc55backed No | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed Yes | 64c | 101.39$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed No | 51c | 98.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…e875backed No | 62c | 83.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…393bbacked Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked No | 52c | 60.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 34c | 59.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 49c | 58.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 46.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8802…91d6backed Yes | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +7.0wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…1136backed Yes | 63c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 49c | 40.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…38e6backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3154…67f5backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a81…b80bbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Yes | 51c | 39.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed No | 52c | 38.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…5f03backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 51c | 36.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed No | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…c06dbacked Yes | 52c | 33.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Yes | 52c | 33.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked No | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 41c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked No | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked No | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 50c | 23.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Yes | 60c | 21.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.