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Premier League · resolved market

Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,154
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,092

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,154 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc311…44fcbacked Over67c37,067$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0002429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under34c14,152$4,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,340.545246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under39c10,412$4,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,394.24,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under33c9,313$3,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,275.252,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under33c5,303$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,553.0185748.5%416 W · 441 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over66c5,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3003839.5%15 W · 23 L-8.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-39.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over18c3,055$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.9296645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c2,565$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.856,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under33c2,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,67551750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under34c2,500$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65072249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under33c2,135$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.5152454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over52c2,041$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.12475%18 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over66c2,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under47c1,777$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.6946943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Under20c1,181$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.158858%51 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over67c1,105$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.9130143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under32c999.97$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.9845936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over66c847.99$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.8928242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004924.5%12 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over67c800$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5361,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over66c754.71$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.1113565.2%88 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over67c746.27$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008158%47 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Over50c550$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2757326%19 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over67c522.39$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35020054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2840…fb26backed Over68c515.5$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.44837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick63cpaid-42%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Over67c373.13$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504271.4%30 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick72cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under32c367$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.5610827.8%30 W · 78 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over52c331.96$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.624858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under35c315$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.7525348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20435056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over67c300$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20130059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004362.8%27 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over26c282.14$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.022,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over43c253.85$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11028633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Under43c250$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.55650%28 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over17c223$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2120956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under63c216.45$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.281,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under32c215.89$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8136956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Under21c200$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1583040%12 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over67c186.57$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over17c150.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511839.8%47 W · 71 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75ff…9aaabacked Over67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over47c142.26$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8610244.1%45 W · 57 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2706…7ab8backed Under72c127.89$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.81742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over26c124.63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.928041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over67c122$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7421049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under32c120$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.632255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under32c120$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.633057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under32c120$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.632656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under32c120$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.636758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over68c120$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.610147.5%48 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadb4…d79fbacked Over67c113.15$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.81666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc4…3479backed Over67c107$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.69714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.8wins-0.54per pick68cpaid-81.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208516.5%14 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6617955.3%99 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dca…ce96backed Over65c92.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.852420.8%5 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over67c89.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014551.7%75 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under33c81.89$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.961,63652.9%866 W · 770 L+32.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc53e…fbedbacked Over67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503976.9%30 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over67c74.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022832.9%75 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Over68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under33c68.41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8329855%164 W · 134 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.188953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under33c62.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.951,69034.9%589 W · 1,101 L-33.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.828458.8%167 W · 117 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.825560%153 W · 102 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc101…98edbacked Over42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.22356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over67c59.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e9…736dbacked Over67c59.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.867258.3%42 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58e4…d654backed Over52c57.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.94158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c49…1699backed Over67c52.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x380e…5f39backed Under55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.451241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fa…b505backed Over66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-46.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xae6f…8a1bbacked Over67c44.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ea6…00f2backed Under34c44.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.122755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9fa…479abacked Over50c43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under32c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.225858.1%150 W · 108 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over63c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2541760.2%251 W · 166 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under30c38.87$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2132049.1%157 W · 163 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f91…42bbbacked Under34c34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.44683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick43cpaid+110.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xccef…c302backed Under34c32.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.51471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+48%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over63c32.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2789152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked Over67c31.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216549.2%32 W · 33 L-8.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-13.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over66c31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4619133%63 W · 128 L-13.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under33c30.91$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.711,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Over66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4492…8b9abacked Over67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8490…3243backed Over67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202653.8%14 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc92…6564backed Over67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204553.3%24 W · 21 L-8.4wins-0.19per pick72cpaid-26.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1b91…27dcbacked Over67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207751.9%40 W · 37 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x889d…e36bbacked Over67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204845.8%22 W · 26 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Over67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206527.7%18 W · 47 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-45.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2909…c95cbacked Over67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205345.3%24 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb311…264fbacked Over67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x392c…1dc6backed Over68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8b1…fc8abacked Over67c27.01$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c8a…1a83backed Over67c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.