Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x578adbfbeaed3a54dc8a38f727ac29b48d24ae961a110b42b0d8ac75da84673b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 15c | 6,532$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.14 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 25c | 1,250$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.77 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 76c | 608.59$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.59 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 74c | 486.35$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.45 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 26c | 300.91$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 26c | 249.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c34…dfafbacked Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb60…09bdbacked Under | 75c | 144.91$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d3…a474backed Under | 75c | 141$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 24c | 123.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ce…670abacked Under | 75c | 114$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 26c | 110$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 69c | 104.59$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 73c | 94.27$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 12c | 89.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66e1…8720backed Under | 76c | 85.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Over | 26c | 80.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…91f7backed Over | 27c | 77.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 74c | 67.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 76c | 65.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 75c | 62.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 71c | 45.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…a6edbacked Under | 66c | 45.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…fb86backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…df66backed Under | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Under | 75c | 26.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 248 | 44.4%110 W · 138 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Under | 70c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…24a6backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Under | 76c | 18.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 78c | 18.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 75c | 18.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 74c | 15.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…5c07backed Under | 74c | 15.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.