Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x628906cae7c8fccceb11ccd39bfdaa5725e5bdd981c4438cf3e10318f40fa43d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Over | 45c | 27,786$12,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,487.79 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 11,311$6,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,090.23 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 9,109$5,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,046.31 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 44c | 3,339$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.78 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 55c | 3,181$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.45 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Under | 57c | 2,325$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.56 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 44c | 1,518$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.92 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 56c | 1,480$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.7 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 60c | 743.09$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.42 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 54c | 582.11$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.86 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 55c | 454$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.3 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 56c | 399.91$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.96 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 58c | 361.59$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.81 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Under | 43c | 341.86$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.86 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 41c | 276.14$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.78 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 44c | 276.14$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 245.48$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 43c | 228.01$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 17c | 205.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Over | 45c | 187.51$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 43c | 179.96$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 44c | 151.53$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 45c | 135$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 61c | 116.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.81 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…8cc7backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…4cc8backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c34…dfafbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…7844backed Under | 57c | 110.6$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 56c | 103$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe1…30c6backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 57c | 87.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 43c | 87.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under | 57c | 87.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 56c | 81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 27c | 63.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Under | 57c | 61.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 55c | 58.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d35fbacked Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 57c | 50.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…8147backed Under | 39c | 48.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 57c | 44.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 36.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Under | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb23f…7d2abacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 250 | 57.6%144 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…7bb7backed Over | 46c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 54c | 24.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 55c | 24.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x546e…ec0cbacked Under | 57c | 22.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed Under | 58c | 18.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4743…e157backed Under | 57c | 18.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 57c | 18.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Under | 57c | 18.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.