Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ee1d0aaaa5dd6a6ffb414cc5bc24d93b67609922193a1e8c938a692168dd6a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 5,184$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.14 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 14c | 3,978$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.81 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -8.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5849…dcf1backed Under | 15c | 1,977$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…821fbacked Over | 78c | 1,661$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.42 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 1,494$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.23 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 13c | 1,016$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.07 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 3c | 799.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 13c | 695.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.26 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 14c | 643$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.02 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 39c | 560.95$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.18 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 57c | 518.37$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.37 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 56c | 500.51$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.43 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 434.69$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.97 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 68c | 395.09$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.82 | 417 | 60.2%251 W · 166 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Under | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Over | 79c | 309.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 65c | 306.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.47 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Under | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 46c | 202.17$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.17 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 50c | 199.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.37 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 15c | 178.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 36c | 169.32$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.05 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 40c | 163.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 26c | 152.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.63 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 68c | 149.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Over | 60c | 149.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…b7e9backed Under | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 48c | 120$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Under | 16c | 107$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Under | 14c | 100.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 14c | 96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 35c | 94.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 37c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 17c | 78.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Under | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 42c | 70.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 40c | 68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 69c | 63.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 19c | 57.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 70c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 31c | 54.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Under | 50c | 53.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 78c | 51.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 30c | 50.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Over | 58c | 48.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 39.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked Over | 63c | 36.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…90b6backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Under | 60c | 33.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 59c | 25.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 46c | 22.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 49c | 21.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Over | 75c | 21.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…3b98backed Under | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 75c | 19.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 77c | 13.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.