Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42561fd7ce95c7916c91b9f070080049f856bf205b61f410c97446567c61d131
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd2b…7f04backed No | 62c | 4,513$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 2,820$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.79 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed No | 3c | 1,560$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 51c | 773.45$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.2 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x075a…fb98backed Yes | 50c | 687.73$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Yes | 49c | 595.91$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.91 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked No | 53c | 566.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 47c | 427.78$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.72 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 49c | 405.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.13 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed No | 51c | 399.98$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…f7f7backed Yes | 48c | 238.04$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 63c | 215.98$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.83 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 24c | 214.34$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.34 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…743dbacked Yes | 49c | 202.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.99 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed No | 6c | 167.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Yes | 49c | 130.61$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 121.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Yes | 29c | 117.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 63c | 117.29$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 101.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed No | 52c | 96.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed No | 53c | 94.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 21c | 90.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed No | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 170 | 48.8%83 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 74c | 86.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 28c | 71.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5683…3ea1backed Yes | 29c | 69.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.31 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 51c | 66.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Yes | 27c | 65.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Yes | 49c | 62.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…644bbacked No | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Yes | 24c | 56.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…c91abacked No | 59c | 54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…a474backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…14f0backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 53c | 49.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 417 | 60.2%251 W · 166 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked No | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 317 | 46.1%146 W · 171 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172c…94b0backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Yes | 49c | 42.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 42.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 41.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 50c | 40.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…4acebacked Yes | 51c | 38.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked Yes | 50c | 38.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd19…6910backed Yes | 49c | 36.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…6c97backed Yes | 49c | 32.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 50c | 31.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Yes | 51c | 30.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed No | 49c | 30.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -85%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 52c | 29.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…23c6backed Yes | 49c | 29.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed No | 52c | 27.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380e…5f39backed No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…d6d7backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e7…9d9dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 18.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.