MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5a2ae7880a6667a47ac7cbbbb3a881163eeea0f5acd69e7aa21642060637c32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Yankees, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $294,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $301,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Mariners | 49c | 125,508$61,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,405.27 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees | 48c | 50,027$24,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,210.48 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees | 51c | 22,354$11,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,372.65 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yankees | 49c | 21,493$10,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,483.34 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yankees | 35c | 9,526$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,326.41 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Mariners | 46c | 9,481$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,081.07 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Mariners | 45c | 9,086$4,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,023.12 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yankees | 42c | 8,583$3,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,562.34 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 56c | 8,420$4,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,715.07 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Yankees | 47c | 7,191$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Yankees | 54c | 7,075$3,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,805.42 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yankees | 57c | 6,545$3,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,712.74 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yankees | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yankees | 17c | 5,921$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yankees | 41c | 5,717$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.49 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 45c | 4,464$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.7 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yankees | 55c | 4,400$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yankees | 50c | 3,983$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yankees | 56c | 2,973$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.77 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Yankees | 45c | 2,910$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.58 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Mariners | 75c | 2,524$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.74 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Yankees | 35c | 2,393$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.71 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Mariners | 52c | 2,308$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.69 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Yankees | 54c | 2,086$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.78 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yankees | 34c | 1,879$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Yankees | 41c | 1,851$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mariners | 44c | 1,851$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.45 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Yankees | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x907b…d4c3backed Yankees | 54c | 1,588$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked Yankees | 24c | 1,460$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.28 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yankees | 58c | 1,412$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.18 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Mariners | 54c | 1,344$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.38 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yankees | 58c | 1,210$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.96 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Mariners | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yankees | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yankees | 22c | 973.82$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.24 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Yankees | 35c | 929.03$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.61 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yankees | 56c | 893$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.08 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mariners | 59c | 863.13$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.89 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…cdc2backed Mariners | 44c | 822.21$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Mariners | 74c | 704.63$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.2 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yankees | 57c | 604.62$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.67 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Mariners | 45c | 604.44$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.44 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Yankees | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yankees | 57c | 584.57$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Yankees | 30c | 528.83$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.93 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Mariners | 77c | 519.27$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Mariners | 44c | 505.61$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.14 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Mariners | 44c | 466$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.12 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Yankees | 25c | 461.28$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.69 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Yankees | 56c | 441.07$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Yankees | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Yankees | 53c | 391$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.09 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yankees | 39c | 386.08$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.57 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yankees | 54c | 382.5$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.25 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338e…42cbbacked Mariners | 52c | 367.77$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Mariners | 75c | 333.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.45 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172b…e2cdbacked Yankees | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yankees | 55c | 300$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Yankees | 37c | 289.8$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 52c | 247.5$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.9 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…069dbacked Yankees | 11c | 220$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mariners | 42c | 217.39$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.08 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Mariners | 39c | 210$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.1 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mariners | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Yankees | 56c | 174.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…f0e4backed Yankees | 56c | 161.84$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yankees | 58c | 155.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b8…2d83backed Mariners | 66c | 137.87$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Mariners | 72c | 136.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yankees | 29c | 130$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c3…973ebacked Mariners | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Yankees | 27c | 104.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Mariners | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Yankees | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Yankees | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x000b…0872backed Yankees | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Yankees | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Yankees | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Yankees | 55c | 99.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39bd…3d72backed Mariners | 45c | 99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…b172backed Yankees | 29c | 96.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2237…d673backed Mariners | 45c | 94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 46cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…fcdfbacked Yankees | 58c | 93.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Yankees | 30c | 91.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Yankees | 59c | 89.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…ef65backed Yankees | 56c | 88.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Yankees | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…5390backed Yankees | 56c | 79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…110bbacked Mariners | 45c | 66.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…149abacked Mariners | 45c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mariners | 43c | 65.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Mariners | 68c | 63.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bd…8e10backed Yankees | 33c | 62.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09f3…3d59backed Mariners | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yankees | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Mariners | 46c | 54.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70e5…e989backed Yankees | 57c | 54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.