Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves win on 2024-12-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1486e6929eafafb6ade27bc0e7ac375d5607751c8fe9053f4e3a0f14135239d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes | 11c | 13,665$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.46 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…53a6backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 24c | 7,500$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.87 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 76c | 6,877$5,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.37 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 18c | 6,004$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.5 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 79c | 2,865$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.59 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 14c | 2,667$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.73 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Yes | 21c | 1,661$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.73 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 71c | 1,406$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.71 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed No | 80c | 1,028$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…1a0dbacked Yes | 21c | 999.95$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +66%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 874.47$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.12 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 77c | 444.6$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 24c | 439.74$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 23c | 351.17$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 23c | 351$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 14c | 294$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf501…d663backed Yes | 9c | 256.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -70%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 21c | 234.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 22c | 229.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Yes | 20c | 201.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 78c | 198$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 78c | 194.64$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 20c | 170$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 80c | 153.04$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e04…a9b3backed Yes | 20c | 126.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked No | 68c | 118.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…fccdbacked Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 80c | 111$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 78c | 107.36$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7921…4f39backed Yes | 20c | 103.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1329…479bbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…b756backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…11b5backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d6…1c32backed Yes | 14c | 77.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…30c4backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…9d8cbacked Yes | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3a…eda0backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…04e1backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0baf…e09ebacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd937…d226backed Yes | 43c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…e637backed No | 79c | 30.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…b757backed No | 79c | 29.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed No | 79c | 26.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe314…6866backed No | 79c | 25.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb93a…c472backed No | 79c | 24.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…087ebacked No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…7da0backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves win on 2024-12-29?this page
- Will Tottenham vs. Wolves end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.