Premier League · resolved market
Will Tottenham vs. Wolves end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce25d36e1cb4fd1ac2c422131a799feb9c33ace13d4fa896aec1c02c1f3a39f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked No | 5c | 2,676$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.91 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 16c | 2,580$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.08 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 33c | 1,862$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.69 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Yes | 25c | 1,835$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.32 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 1c | 1,825$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Yes | 70c | 1,415$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.78 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 72c | 1,016$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.81 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Yes | 21c | 1,006$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.5 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 80c | 874.47$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.35 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 78c | 692.37$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.37 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 67c | 690$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.7 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 76c | 589.68$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.68 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e8…0819backed Yes | 18c | 549.6$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd09…4198backed Yes | 22c | 319$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.82 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +150%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 28c | 158.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.09 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Yes | 71c | 143.14$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 29c | 130$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 19c | 119.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.95 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed No | 80c | 108.75$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…96a1backed Yes | 22c | 100.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd392…cf71backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce2…9af3backed Yes | 74c | 83.89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…375abacked Yes | 21c | 72.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed No | 40c | 71.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…04e1backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 79c | 47.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 79c | 47.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 78c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 78c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 78c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 78c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 79c | 28.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf501…d663backed Yes | 70c | 23.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -70%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 78c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf470…62d2backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x724f…8a87backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…19ecbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham vs. Wolves end in a draw?this page
- Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-29?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2024-12-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.