TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,104
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,104 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No45c14,020$6,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,244.5522744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed No45c10,045$4,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,520.354766%31 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73b7…9360backed Yes55c9,938$5,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,472.211546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No42c9,066$3,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,818.8240254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No42c8,633$3,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,621.3879639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52e4…1b25backed Yes56c4,464$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.29837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No45c3,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,57532037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dbc…bb1abacked Yes59c3,127$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.961533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes61c2,960$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.1129643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ab7…d178backed Yes58c2,585$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes55c2,390$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.6129238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No45c2,123$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.1424566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7563…7654backed Yes56c1,575$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No43c1,524$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9516660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No42c1,400$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.9690751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No44c1,383$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.3240640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a9c…8f07backed Yes56c1,152$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.79911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.35per pick46cpaid-80.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes56c1,041$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.5315347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95cd…32d0backed No42c1,026$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.065554.5%30 W · 25 L+10.6wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+60.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43015337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes57c999.99$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.3317945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No45c999.99$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4508750.6%44 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes57c956.14$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.1439561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacb5…aeb9backed Yes57c868.26$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.33850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes71c843.12$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.125740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed No26c788.82$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.8811657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8a4…17d0backed Yes59c750$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-48.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb17b…f7f5backed Yes58c744.52$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Yes55c573.89$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.256838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes55c566.88$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.15644.6%25 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes75c547.25$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.8119743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7118433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.473923.1%9 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No44c501.78$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.7822050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa768…0ad1backed Yes55c487.86$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.54862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No41c463.77$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.154963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed No43c418.6$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…269bbacked Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004362.8%27 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes58c344$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.4820447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc54c…7ceabacked Yes59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.982138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-46%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No23c338.88$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0379650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf66d…f36fbacked Yes59c330$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.61723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.0wins-0.23per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf3d4…80a7backed Yes58c325.74$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.81450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e1…adf1backed Yes57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.163240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Yes59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.243828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ed4…70f0backed Yes79c201.13$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.731275%9 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8429653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Yes59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.39150.5%46 W · 45 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No46c195.35$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.869943.4%43 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8123350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.575352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes58c172.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4411342.5%48 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Yes59c170$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes57c140$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6018232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb737…f72ebacked Yes58c130.21$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.212254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Yes56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5515461%94 W · 60 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfe8…fcabbacked Yes69c117.79$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.432944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes58c107$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9436954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.269348.4%45 W · 48 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x263c…04cdbacked Yes58c100.69$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.295259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4242755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97f2…a87fbacked Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-36.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0795…be42backed Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c09…dfb9backed Yes58c96.62$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.324864.6%31 W · 17 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+36.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc58e…248bbacked Yes57c96.49$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfa2…18afbacked No44c96.48$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes73c92.77$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0510341.7%43 W · 60 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc92c…b909backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+89.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c05…fc5ebacked Yes56c89.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.23545.7%16 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdae5…9f53backed Yes59c87.13$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.91258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5777…286cbacked No44c86.7$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes58c86.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.232425%6 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19d0…001abacked Yes57c84.21$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f7…3dccbacked No44c84.2$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes58c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.614441%59 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0aa…a9efbacked No44c75.91$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd1d…b57fbacked Yes59c73.82$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.273357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65ea…2941backed Yes58c73.81$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No41c73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9346660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No41c73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.937967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b9b…5f3ebacked Yes69c70.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.662152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4135…c599backed Yes59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.81838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5611…8316backed Yes58c67.57$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.38450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa50f…f999backed Yes59c66.1$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.17041.4%29 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac3f…1cf1backed Yes58c65.55$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d09…bf32backed Yes58c62.72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d34…5adbbacked Yes57c61.53$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa986…1273backed No44c61.48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bbf…c692backed No43c61.44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c2…9b93backed No43c60.95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bdd…3c05backed No43c60.91$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes62c59.31$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5337652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x95a7…3496backed Yes58c58.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…c128backed No43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254926.5%13 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6745…435abacked No42c57.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f8e…0a87backed Yes78c57.54$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.812060%12 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa08e…6ad2backed No42c57.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b45…54eabacked Yes58c56.69$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50c7…5970backed Yes58c56.02$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.532100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x553e…90e7backed Yes57c55.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.