Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton win on 2024-12-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9a08721fb6a91eb384db0bf5b77fb6401e32aa42f474f89b7dec1b633050637
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 22c | 10,712$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.04 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed No | 80c | 9,806$7,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.13 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 22c | 3,759$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.89 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 78c | 3,155$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.08 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 22c | 2,587$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.04 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 25c | 1,699$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.84 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 78c | 1,517$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.25 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 1c | 1,296$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 77c | 1,231$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.46 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,001$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 75c | 992.13$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.91 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked No | 79c | 934.41$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.37 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes | 25c | 368$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 25c | 295$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 79c | 177$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e92…07a6backed No | 79c | 163.74$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 21c | 149.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 75c | 123.04$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…8422backed Yes | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed No | 79c | 110$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76eb…525abacked No | 78c | 107.69$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c88…6871backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 24c | 58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…9599backed No | 78c | 33.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…4e3dbacked No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…c510backed No | 79c | 23.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1eb…4272backed No | 79c | 22.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…f304backed No | 80c | 22.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbabc…6cbebacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa9…fdb5backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…75c2backed No | 80c | 12.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton win on 2024-12-15?this page
- Will Southampton vs. Tottenham end in a draw?No won
- Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.