CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Spirit vs. MOUZ
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1047f3a36f30d88d5fbae6d594d1b5c5aadaa24bd93016378845405d3f698a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Spirit, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $219,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $252,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked Spirit | 68c | 36,646$24,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,991.16 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed MOUZ | 32c | 21,207$6,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,377.81 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +6.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x33f2…4e69backed MOUZ | 36c | 14,000$4,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,028.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 21c | 11,339$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,004.04 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked MOUZ | 31c | 10,112$3,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,978.44 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Spirit | 67c | 9,219$6,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,215.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked MOUZ | 31c | 7,000$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,829.98 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked Spirit | 68c | 6,553$4,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,473.13 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Spirit | 64c | 6,293$4,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,027.45 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked MOUZ | 32c | 6,256$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256.1 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…5f3fbacked Spirit | 68c | 5,456$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked MOUZ | 39c | 4,844$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,943.85 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…c6b0backed MOUZ | 36c | 4,376$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed MOUZ | 32c | 4,089$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,763.68 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed MOUZ | 23c | 4,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.99 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed MOUZ | 53c | 3,827$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.4 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked MOUZ | 31c | 3,582$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.58 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked MOUZ | 31c | 3,400$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.25 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f687backed Spirit | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed MOUZ | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Spirit | 68c | 2,722$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.62 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed MOUZ | 15c | 2,683$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.87 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…eda0backed Spirit | 66c | 2,505$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.07 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Spirit | 64c | 2,486$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed MOUZ | 34c | 2,200$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Spirit | 69c | 2,175$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed MOUZ | 60c | 2,164$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.1 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Spirit | 68c | 2,018$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.6 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked MOUZ | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2d…6ae3backed Spirit | 66c | 1,403$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.93 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…0de7backed MOUZ | 33c | 1,401$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.92 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b0…4f5cbacked MOUZ | 33c | 1,223$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.13 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Spirit | 68c | 1,199$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed MOUZ | 33c | 1,090$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.41 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b71…bbf5backed MOUZ | 16c | 1,025$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Spirit | 64c | 1,016$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.81 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Spirit | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd613…e999backed Spirit | 69c | 950$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.5 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…200bbacked Spirit | 66c | 891.98$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.3 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…71d6backed Spirit | 66c | 758.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.45 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…c190backed MOUZ | 31c | 705.45$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…9ac9backed MOUZ | 63c | 700.3$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Spirit | 52c | 685$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.2 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Spirit | 66c | 672.17$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed MOUZ | 28c | 664.44$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.61 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…c0adbacked Spirit | 59c | 650.6$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed MOUZ | 33c | 607.76$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.2 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f2…0c24backed MOUZ | 34c | 590$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Spirit | 66c | 585$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.1 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Spirit | 69c | 560$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.4 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed MOUZ | 33c | 545.45$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.45 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…50e2backed MOUZ | 43c | 545$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed MOUZ | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…c054backed MOUZ | 69c | 498.74$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…19e8backed Spirit | 66c | 440.89$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…0b7abacked Spirit | 57c | 425.05$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MOUZ | 22c | 424.52$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.91 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Spirit | 67c | 408$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.36 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Spirit | 54c | 383.3$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.29 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed MOUZ | 25c | 380$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c56…8474backed Spirit | 66c | 370$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa9…511abacked Spirit | 69c | 369.17$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked Spirit | 66c | 349.97$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.98 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed MOUZ | 29c | 340$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.3 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…bbd8backed Spirit | 66c | 303.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed MOUZ | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed Spirit | 65c | 299.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked MOUZ | 34c | 296.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.74 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed MOUZ | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Spirit | 69c | 265.85$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.23 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7d47backed Spirit | 68c | 256.01$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.09 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d86…82c5backed MOUZ | 32c | 249.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +184.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…f92cbacked Spirit | 69c | 231.88$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf105…ab49backed Spirit | 68c | 211.76$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -58%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…9c3dbacked MOUZ | 37c | 201.13$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.41 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…5030backed Spirit | 66c | 198.79$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Spirit | 66c | 181.82$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed MOUZ | 31c | 180$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…7cd6backed MOUZ | 31c | 170.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.7 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fb…778cbacked Spirit | 18c | 157.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…e20fbacked Spirit | 66c | 152$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5a…8ff8backed MOUZ | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…7936backed Spirit | 68c | 148.53$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Spirit | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…509abacked Spirit | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd57…141cbacked Spirit | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed MOUZ | 31c | 130$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed Spirit | 68c | 127.94$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…074cbacked Spirit | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…566bbacked Spirit | 68c | 123.53$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08f8…c2f4backed Spirit | 66c | 122.73$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Spirit | 67c | 119$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0de3…069ebacked MOUZ | 26c | 109.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddd…53ebbacked Spirit | 71c | 107.94$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed MOUZ | 34c | 103.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed MOUZ | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Spirit | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3869…2d67backed MOUZ | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked MOUZ | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.