Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-14?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54f670c657d8a954dbfb926ec6a22a4876a3f15a7f5d5823f26971ab1a2a5256

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 14, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $84,627
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $87,905

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,627 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed No	35c	15,340$5,412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,928.22	116	57.8%67 W · 49 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes	80c	11,389$9,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,097	395	61.3%242 W · 153 L	-21.3wins	-0.05per pick	67cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No	19c	8,515$1,593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,921.33	402	54.7%220 W · 182 L	+14.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No	22c	6,554$1,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,104.31	320	37.2%119 W · 201 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No	20c	3,117$629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,487.36	796	39.6%315 W · 481 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3172…20f9backed Yes	79c	3,009$2,377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,377.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.79per pick	79cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73b7…9360backed Yes	68c	2,523$1,716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,715.69	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes	78c	2,371$1,849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,849.47	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	+3.3wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb88d…291abacked Yes	70c	2,116$1,479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,479.34	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-4.7wins	-0.23per pick	61cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Yes	79c	1,852$1,472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,471.96	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+47.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6894…a7cfbacked No	21c	1,800$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,421.91	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.25per pick	41cpaid	+119.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes	68c	1,508$1,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,025.38	386	49%189 W · 197 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No	22c	1,500$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,170	680	26.3%179 W · 501 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe59d…fe58backed Yes	80c	1,400$1,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,120	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-4.3wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes	60c	1,317$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$789.95	290	44.8%130 W · 160 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes	79c	1,266$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Yes	79c	999.99$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$789.99	69	59.4%41 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No	20c	999.96$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$799.97	220	50%110 W · 110 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No	20c	985.3$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$787	378	41.8%158 W · 220 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a9c…8f07backed Yes	43c	923.19$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-3.1wins	-0.35per pick	46cpaid	-80.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No	35c	680.25$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$442.16	346	43.9%152 W · 194 L	-14.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes	79c	632.91$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	86	33.7%29 W · 57 L	-14.7wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x30bc…2529backed No	20c	625$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Yes	80c	546.19$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.95	43	72.1%31 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	71cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes	79c	539.38$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428	368	45.7%168 W · 200 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24cc…d737backed Yes	65c	524.3$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.83	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…3312backed Yes	60c	501.02$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.61	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.31per pick	59cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes	80c	500$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	296	53%157 W · 139 L	-23.0wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd8a4…17d0backed Yes	80c	500$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No	20c	500$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	179	45.8%82 W · 97 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Yes	47c	472.48$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221	77	37.7%29 W · 48 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2452…4571backed Yes	47c	456.8$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No	19c	432.2$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350.08	153	37.3%57 W · 96 L	-7.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes	80c	399.2$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.36	401	35.2%141 W · 260 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf6e…632fbacked Yes	78c	386.5$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	20	65%13 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	72cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No	62c	372.92$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.2	70	34.3%24 W · 46 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes	52c	363.74$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.27	296	43.6%129 W · 167 L	-11.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f9c…36e4backed No	21c	350$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.5	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x358e…b0ccbacked Yes	66c	346.14$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.41	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70e1…e9eabacked Yes	79c	332.98$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.06	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No	55c	332.92$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.47	796	50.8%404 W · 392 L	+28.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes	63c	317.46$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	422	40.3%170 W · 252 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f6…d12fbacked Yes	79c	316.46$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-7.5wins	-0.23per pick	64cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x6fba…bdbdbacked No	70c	287.76$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.76	32	75%24 W · 8 L	+3.3wins	+0.10per pick	65cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes	79c	253.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	184	33.7%62 W · 122 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes	62c	242.07$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149	90	27.8%25 W · 65 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed No	21c	238.1$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.1	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+27%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc0…9b77backed Yes	65c	237.5$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.38	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	71cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe12e…c40bbacked No	22c	227.27$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.27	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes	79c	226.2$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.7	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+27.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Yes	68c	222$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.96	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes	43c	220$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.2	167	37.7%63 W · 104 L	+10.6wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	42c	214.49$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.48	660	31.2%206 W · 454 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes	60c	200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	113	42.5%48 W · 65 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes	80c	200$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a80…2ce6backed Yes	79c	200$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No	19c	199.94$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.95	907	51.3%465 W · 442 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0583…054dbacked Yes	80c	197.75$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1466…1d5abacked Yes	80c	168.27$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.62	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.4wins	-0.27per pick	60cpaid	-52%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes	33c	155$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	119	15.1%18 W · 101 L	-10.4wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe227…55d8backed Yes	80c	145.41$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.33	72	56.9%41 W · 31 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7dc…9908backed Yes	79c	140$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.6	89	37.1%33 W · 56 L	-6.0wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe438…9471backed Yes	74c	135.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes	78c	128.21$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	133	36.1%48 W · 85 L	-12.7wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6753…7340backed No	45c	125.71$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.4	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes	80c	125.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	428	62.4%267 W · 161 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde1…187fbacked Yes	80c	125$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	78cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1efa…6a86backed No	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+20%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes	79c	123.28$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.79	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	-6.2wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x420b…c128backed No	22c	113.64$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.64	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes	77c	103.63$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.69	214	63.1%135 W · 79 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x81e1…7265backed No	20c	100$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf66d…f36fbacked Yes	65c	100$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-4.0wins	-0.23per pick	47cpaid	-51%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe8d…46babacked Yes	79c	100$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.6wins	-0.79per pick	79cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes	80c	100$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-9.4wins	-0.17per pick	59cpaid	-31%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes	79c	100$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	69	44.9%31 W · 38 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf16e…5220backed No	21c	95.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.22	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3676…c975backed Yes	76c	93.42$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaae3…6dccbacked No	22c	90.86$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.87	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.69per pick	31cpaid	+249.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes	75c	81.81$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.36	300	50.7%152 W · 148 L	-16.5wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No	30c	80$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	253	29.2%74 W · 179 L	+11.3wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Yes	51c	79.24$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.6	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa382…b743backed Yes	68c	77.24$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.52	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+112.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfd5…851dbacked No	22c	75.14$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.61	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.78per pick	22cpaid	+354.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed No	20c	75.01$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.83	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x900b…d5c7backed Yes	80c	75$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.23per pick	67cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8bf…d806backed No	20c	70$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	+84.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x379d…54efbacked Yes	38c	67.69$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.72	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.33per pick	34cpaid	+111.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdde0…318abacked No	20c	65$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+214.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d4f…99f0backed Yes	80c	62.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	55cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58ca…cc33backed No	31c	60$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.4	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe608…0c2cbacked No	39c	60$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.6	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes	71c	59.99$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.6	155	54.8%85 W · 70 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf51…2037backed Yes	68c	58.4$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes	79c	56.96$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	-5.5wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes	80c	50$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	98	58.2%57 W · 41 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1bd…b9a1backed Yes	68c	50$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf59…bb65backed Yes	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4630…a058backed No	20c	50$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	62	58.1%36 W · 26 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+14%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf719…987abacked Yes	60c	48.8$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.16	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-14?this page
Will Arsenal vs. Everton end in a draw?Yes won
Will Everton win on 2024-12-14?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-14?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event