Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton win on 2024-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6852003f2ad09217506e8a2ba2670d4c2b81aea406bc24246f271d5e909f6d3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 8c | 6,875$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes | 8c | 4,719$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Yes | 7c | 4,035$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.44 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa73…ce33backed Yes | 8c | 3,125$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 8c | 2,014$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.99 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…d9d8backed Yes | 7c | 1,479$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…0764backed Yes | 7c | 1,445$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 6c | 999.89$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb680…c893backed Yes | 7c | 800$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 4c | 480$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 5c | 332.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c04…8d3cbacked Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5272…f0afbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66b…0e7cbacked Yes | 8c | 212.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5efc…9b2abacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed Yes | 8c | 150.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…db66backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac7…17c6backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton win on 2024-12-14?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Everton end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.