Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3b418f8c657b3e523496187d3564c5b35c081e0c4143a589b147aa89d2d0e64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72d6…1c32backed Yes | 1c | 11,133$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 3c | 8,581$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.19 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 53c | 7,819$4,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,667.67 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Yes | 54c | 5,768$3,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,101.26 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 46c | 5,700$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.98 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Yes | 54c | 5,471$2,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.45 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 39c | 5,360$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.95 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 47c | 4,564$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418.77 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…12f8backed Yes | 54c | 2,767$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 56c | 2,752$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.99 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 51c | 2,176$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.89 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 46c | 2,000$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.95 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 27c | 1,987$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.56 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…d644backed Yes | 53c | 1,706$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 46c | 1,669$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.08 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 54c | 1,600$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1394…e426backed No | 47c | 1,575$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 45c | 1,533$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.32 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 47c | 1,530$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.1 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 27c | 1,404$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.78 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,283$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.82 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2c…1b43backed Yes | 13c | 1,182$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…f96fbacked Yes | 54c | 1,166$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe0…2a58backed Yes | 44c | 1,148$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed No | 49c | 1,111$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.61 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 47c | 1,070$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.14 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 58c | 896.38$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.46 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Yes | 55c | 866.75$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.71 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…705ebacked Yes | 44c | 852.27$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked No | 57c | 830.54$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.01 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 49c | 749.9$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.45 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked No | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabe4…1996backed Yes | 30c | 660.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadff…e3f3backed Yes | 52c | 648.19$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.48 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Yes | 55c | 624.89$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.69 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…26b9backed Yes | 54c | 611.61$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 13c | 559.65$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes | 53c | 559.51$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.54 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked No | 48c | 520$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed No | 49c | 510.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.6 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66d…f36fbacked Yes | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc133…bdf0backed Yes | 53c | 462.53$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c60…45b8backed Yes | 8c | 431.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed No | 45c | 414.27$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.85 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 57c | 409.62$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969e…56aabacked Yes | 44c | 386.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…fcabbacked Yes | 56c | 382.25$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.06 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Yes | 54c | 370.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…3d33backed Yes | 53c | 357.11$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.27 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -6.0wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed No | 46c | 355.04$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.72 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 46c | 343.39$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.58 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed No | 52c | 341.47$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.96 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 3c | 326.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 52c | 312.75$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.63 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…68acbacked No | 47c | 265.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.96 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 46c | 252.74$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.79 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1c96backed Yes | 16c | 250$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68b0…c482backed Yes | 41c | 245.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…515fbacked Yes | 53c | 243.58$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.1 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 80c | 243.34$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Yes | 55c | 243.32$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.97 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…c534backed Yes | 10c | 242.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 55c | 220$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.44 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.44 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Yes | 53c | 216.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26db…b66cbacked Yes | 53c | 203.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…17d0backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…ef44backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…94c3backed Yes | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes | 55c | 182.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc035…ec07backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…136abacked Yes | 55c | 181.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…7319backed Yes | 44c | 170.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Yes | 55c | 166.55$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Yes | 52c | 160.21$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.31 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 49c | 157.61$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.43 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…a9a4backed Yes | 55c | 148.02$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 53c | 140$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 45c | 132.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…6beebacked No | 47c | 127.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1410…d50ebacked Yes | 27c | 124.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed No | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73af…4fc0backed Yes | 55c | 119.87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Yes | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -9.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x02a0…acfabacked Yes | 55c | 107.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8308…75d3backed Yes | 15c | 103.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…b756backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb680…c893backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0795…be42backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-26?this page
- Will Wolves vs. Manchester United end in a draw?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2024-12-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.