TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wolves win on 2024-12-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$235,048
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$258,795

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,048 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4eb6…ecd5backed Yes22c140,000$30,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109,2001100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c5f…5eb7backed No78c140,000$109,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109,200450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes27c8,829$2,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,406.3632037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No19c7,122$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.2979639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes23c6,961$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,359.922744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed No65c5,917$3,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,838.6511657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes23c5,000$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8503333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes25c3,100$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,324.8368026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No78c2,459$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917.6428355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Yes80c2,035$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.325550.9%28 W · 27 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No76c1,948$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.5516851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Yes21c1,898$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.946253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No19c1,820$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.4937652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No66c1,300$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.5690751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fba…bdbdbacked Yes79c1,289$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.783275%24 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes48c1,125$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.8237841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes23c1,087$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.3611937%44 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30bc…2529backed No77c1,025$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7902347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+27.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No76c1,013$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.4716660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x993d…f0a3backed Yes26c962.85$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.85425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No12c950$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11866031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b74…a4f4backed Yes24c935.29$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.822025%5 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No76c804.27$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.5829643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed No78c686.73$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.654052.5%21 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes78c661.43$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.5169772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc133…bdf0backed No79c583.2$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.731040%4 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed No79c506.41$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7174…d302backed No20c505.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-22.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes30c500.49$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.4922932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9373…f905backed No77c500$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed No77c499.99$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.9919336.8%71 W · 122 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4f9…f3ffbacked Yes80c465.53$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.5525637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc483…2fe7backed Yes23c436.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.99944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Yes24c418.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.336838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd19…1b5ebacked Yes24c417.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.28520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No66c409.62$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.5177336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed No75c366.8$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.15453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.914438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes22c281.82$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.8244939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5272…f0afbacked Yes23c274.61$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.453542.9%15 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes44c264.84$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.313161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No76c236.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.1131944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b1…d2e6backed Yes23c217.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.39757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes21c184.18$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.55825.9%15 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Yes22c150$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1173132.3%10 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No77c150$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.542755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked No77c140$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.89858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No76c135$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.197967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3703…fdadbacked Yes69c131.34$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.25520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-71.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc95c…cef3backed No77c123$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.672060%12 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes27c121.88$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5432736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7dc…9908backed Yes23c110$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.78937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5594…c0b2backed Yes23c104.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.822326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No76c101.46$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3346660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33dc…375abacked Yes22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787934.2%27 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x716a…f6cfbacked Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755242.3%22 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked No76c97$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.037968.4%54 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed No13c76.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.013215.6%5 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-66.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2936…07f5backed Yes23c69.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5710932.1%35 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c8…6415backed Yes23c65.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.222360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No76c65$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3936259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7444…e30ebacked No23c63.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa64a…21dabacked Yes24c62.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.223737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4b3…acaabacked No78c57.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x92fd…f454backed Yes23c56.52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.523100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+202.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5e2…806fbacked Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303663.9%23 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick67cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d6…1c32backed No21c48.27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.231216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-62.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb474…0c0bbacked Yes23c45$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+89.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked No77c44.2$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0312357.7%71 W · 52 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4896…4b46backed Yes25c44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+307.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No77c43.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4840254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0aaa…8c2bbacked Yes42c42.45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.621258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35c1…bd9abacked Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+81.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1512…9a50backed No79c31.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ae0…b9c9backed No58c28.57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x082b…5e67backed Yes80c26.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.384261.9%26 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed2b…469ebacked Yes80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83ec…0a71backed No76c24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.321471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No76c24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3259958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04f1…0ee0backed No77c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3240%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf305…2ac3backed No75c15.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7650%3 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Yes80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.515461%94 W · 60 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.