Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves vs. Manchester United end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9fe01b44d72fb77bed02ea2accdd488a1b7f6d7b1d3aeb3f6a59b3e341c0407
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 71c | 7,921$5,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,284.79 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Yes | 39c | 3,202$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.64 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 22c | 1,012$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.51 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 61c | 1,006$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.35 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8abf…6d69backed No | 77c | 975.97$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 64cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 35c | 744.54$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.07 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed Yes | 13c | 732$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.16 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 5c | 728.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd7…547dbacked Yes | 39c | 665.42$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72d6…1c32backed Yes | 15c | 501.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Yes | 20c | 499.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993d…f0a3backed Yes | 12c | 491.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 409.62$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Yes | 25c | 399.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes | 20c | 326.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 74c | 318.06$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.76 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 25c | 316.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked No | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 23c | 249.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…16b0backed Yes | 33c | 238.73$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabe4…1996backed Yes | 31c | 238$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa94…001abacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 42c | 190.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…58f6backed No | 74c | 186.27$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 67cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2c…1b43backed No | 77c | 163.36$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3700…a35ebacked Yes | 16c | 152.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed No | 59c | 142.56$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60c6…db1bbacked Yes | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 62c | 124$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 12c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…772fbacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 26c | 115.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 27c | 112.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…8444backed Yes | 31c | 99.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 73c | 67.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…b038backed Yes | 26c | 67.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…66a7backed No | 75c | 67.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 74c | 66.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ea…9cd7backed Yes | 26c | 66.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 25c | 41.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 74c | 25.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 75c | 13.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves vs. Manchester United end in a draw?this page
- Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-26?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2024-12-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.