TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Real Madrid vs. Juventus: 3+ Goals Scored?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,169
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,412

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,169 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf520…0637backed No44c20,573$9,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,489.1318758.8%110 W · 77 L+18.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No42c7,985$3,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,649.7323942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf652…9351backed Yes58c7,211$4,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,216.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x826d…6b2fbacked Yes55c5,171$2,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,845.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes55c4,683$2,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,575.5617853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked No42c4,191$1,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,409.85475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+141.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Yes33c4,101$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.156950.7%35 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed No44c4,052$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,251.284062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No55c3,968$2,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.6124742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No43c2,961$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.6730657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes57c2,542$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.5240222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed No43c2,342$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.947342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked No63c2,299$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.231361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4167…2427backed No40c2,193$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.974738.3%18 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes11c2,156$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.1613232.6%43 W · 89 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+172.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Yes19c2,031$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.734040%16 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No42c1,900$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.1517658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf05…b6cebacked Yes56c1,866$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.691250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes57c1,740$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Yes58c1,717$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed Yes52c1,525$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7932857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82512956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.9934449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed No45c1,500$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.991656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes58c1,415$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.175545.5%25 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef91…97b1backed Yes55c1,265$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Yes55c1,125$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.639159.3%54 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes55c1,020$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5666246.8%29 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58010931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f1…fee6backed Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef30…75cdbacked Yes57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34cb…009cbacked No43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09c8…23d8backed No44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5602100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+108%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes59c989.59$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.868040%32 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed95…b1e6backed Yes58c984.59$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.011330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes58c968.75$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.3316447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes36c968.26$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.6917348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04c7…af7fbacked No69c960.73$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.731070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09e2…21d0backed Yes55c910.52$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes30c856.41$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.274924.5%12 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No43c807.4$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.2210137.6%38 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No48c780.31$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.5644955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06b8…3bf1backed Yes56c685$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Yes57c659.83$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.043966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x17a3…5f96backed No46c650$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3512100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8be4…58d9backed Yes41c630$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.51020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes58c606.21$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35022054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes58c603.45$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507737.7%29 W · 48 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x907d…fc1abacked No46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x127d…bb3cbacked No46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0678…9fd0backed Yes47c599.96$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.665038%19 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…e6f2backed No44c585$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No80c580$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.14233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked Yes54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b8f…6455backed No46c550$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8591…1b6cbacked Yes54c550$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a75…4833backed Yes54c545$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x014e…d240backed Yes54c540$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf488…b954backed Yes58c538.59$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.41450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb425…5b2cbacked Yes56c535$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes11c534.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.79046.7%42 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes56c500.02$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.017548%36 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked Yes24c482.85$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.141643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes18c478$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4424963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xa856…9c45backed Yes57c461.25$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5da1…980bbacked Yes54c458.15$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5037…51e9backed Yes58c431.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-54.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked No46c419$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.053562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3524…eb2abacked No45c410.51$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5220…549abacked No44c410$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8829…2478backed Yes56c395$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Yes57c390.74$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.722850%14 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes59c364.41$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21520667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No46c360$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.3738356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d37…7182backed Yes57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes58c350$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20325450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b1…a8f9backed Yes54c345$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ec…57c3backed Yes59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes48c336.14$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.016056.7%34 W · 26 L+8.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No47c334.6$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.6746956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x272c…84a8backed Yes56c315$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf778…05b2backed Yes26c311.69$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806229%18 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547136.6%26 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbea2…f8f3backed Yes55c284.87$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.681631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes27c280.35$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6616036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5e9…3166backed No67c280$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927100%7 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x42a8…81f5backed Yes57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff92…f22cbacked Yes57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Yes54c263.08$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.59762.9%61 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022847.8%109 W · 119 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes59c254.52$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Yes59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Yes58c252.57$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.393033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x282c…784bbacked No56c251.58$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.091241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed No65c244.15$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.551030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-50.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed No48c240$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.87946.8%37 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes58c232$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.424047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Yes60c230.17$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.13759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9be…57f4backed Yes54c230$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.